Stock Price Trends

Veris Residential Inc (VRE)

None

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 19.61% per annum.
  • VRE price at the close of September 16, 2025 was $15.39 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $0.33 (2.20%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 341.56% per annum.
  • VRE price at the close of September 16, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $0.41 (2.60%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of VRE price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: August 28, 2024
End date: August 21, 2025

a = 3.7399

b = -0.0006

s = 0.0318

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0006) – 1
= -19.61%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0318) – 1
= 13.58%

August 28, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y992)
= Exp(a + b × X992 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,441 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7399 + -0.0006 × 1,441 + 2 × 0.0318)
= Exp(2.9416)
= $18.95

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y992)
= Exp(a + b × X992 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,441 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7399 + -0.0006 × 1,441 – 2 × 0.0318)
= Exp(2.8143)
= $16.68

August 21, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,237)
= Exp(a + b × X1,237 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,799 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7399 + -0.0006 × 1,799 + 2 × 0.0318)
= Exp(2.7275)
= $15.29

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,237)
= Exp(a + b × X1,237 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,799 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7399 + -0.0006 × 1,799 – 2 × 0.0318)
= Exp(2.6001)
= $13.47

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 19.61% per annum.
  • VRE price at the close of September 16, 2025 was $15.39 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $0.33 (2.20%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: July 31, 2025
End date: September 12, 2025

a = -4.6236

b = 0.0041

s = 0.0210

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0041) – 1
= 341.56%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0210) – 1
= 8.77%

July 31, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,222)
= Exp(a + b × X1,222 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,778 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-4.6236 + 0.0041 × 1,778 + 2 × 0.0210)
= Exp(2.6529)
= $14.20

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,222)
= Exp(a + b × X1,222 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,778 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-4.6236 + 0.0041 × 1,778 – 2 × 0.0210)
= Exp(2.5688)
= $13.05

September 12, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,252)
= Exp(a + b × X1,252 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,821 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-4.6236 + 0.0041 × 1,821 + 2 × 0.0210)
= Exp(2.8279)
= $16.91

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,252)
= Exp(a + b × X1,252 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,821 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-4.6236 + 0.0041 × 1,821 – 2 × 0.0210)
= Exp(2.7438)
= $15.55

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 341.56% per annum.
  • VRE price at the close of September 16, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $0.41 (2.60%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.