Twilio Inc (TWLO)
Twilio Inc. is a leading cloud communications platform that empowers businesses to enhance customer engagement through its robust APIs, facilitating seamless interaction via voice, messaging, and video within applications. With a strong focus on innovation and developer-centric solutions, Twilio serves a diverse global clientele, including some of the world's largest enterprises, in their digital communication strategies. Headquartered in San Francisco, California, the company continues to expand its service offerings and geographic reach, positioning itself as a key player in the rapidly evolving communication technology landscape.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 34.41% per annum.
- TWLO price at the close of December 5, 2025 was $127.32 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 66.20% per annum.
- TWLO price at the close of December 5, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of TWLO price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: November 4, 2022
End date: December 5, 2025
a = 3.2936
b = 0.0008
s = 0.1752
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0008) – 1
= 34.41%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1752) – 1
= 101.53%
November 4, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y482)
= Exp(a + b × X482 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 697 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.2936 + 0.0008 × 697 + 2 × 0.1752)
= Exp(4.2088)
= $67.27
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y482)
= Exp(a + b × X482 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 697 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.2936 + 0.0008 × 697 – 2 × 0.1752)
= Exp(3.5080)
= $33.38
December 5, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.2936 + 0.0008 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.1752)
= Exp(5.1219)
= $167.65
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.2936 + 0.0008 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.1752)
= Exp(4.4211)
= $83.19
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 34.41% per annum.
- TWLO price at the close of December 5, 2025 was $127.32 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: February 15, 2024
End date: December 5, 2025
a = 2.3901
b = 0.0014
s = 0.1680
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0014) – 1
= 66.20%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1680) – 1
= 95.79%
February 15, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y802)
= Exp(a + b × X802 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,165 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.3901 + 0.0014 × 1,165 + 2 × 0.1680)
= Exp(4.3476)
= $77.30
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y802)
= Exp(a + b × X802 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,165 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.3901 + 0.0014 × 1,165 – 2 × 0.1680)
= Exp(3.6758)
= $39.48
December 5, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.3901 + 0.0014 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.1680)
= Exp(5.2649)
= $193.43
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.3901 + 0.0014 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.1680)
= Exp(4.5930)
= $98.79
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 66.20% per annum.
- TWLO price at the close of December 5, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.