Palo Alto Networks Inc (PANW)
Palo Alto Networks, Inc. (PANW) is a leading provider of cybersecurity solutions, offering a comprehensive platform that protects organizations from cyber threats through innovative technologies such as advanced firewall systems, cloud security, and AI-driven threat intelligence. Headquartered in Santa Clara, California, the company serves a global clientele across various industries, positioning itself as a critical partner in the rapidly evolving cybersecurity landscape. With a focus on enhancing enterprise security and reducing risk, Palo Alto Networks continues to expand its product offerings and market footprint in response to increasing demand for robust cybersecurity measures.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 18.63% per annum.
- PANW price at the close of November 7, 2025 was $212.29 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 162.19% per annum.
- PANW price at the close of November 7, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $0.96 (0.45%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of PANW price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: November 29, 2023
End date: November 7, 2025
a = 4.4763
b = 0.0005
s = 0.0739
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0005) – 1
= 18.63%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0739) – 1
= 34.38%
November 29, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y768)
= Exp(a + b × X768 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,115 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.4763 + 0.0005 × 1,115 + 2 × 0.0739)
= Exp(5.1458)
= $171.72
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y768)
= Exp(a + b × X768 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,115 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.4763 + 0.0005 × 1,115 – 2 × 0.0739)
= Exp(4.8503)
= $127.78
November 7, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.4763 + 0.0005 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0739)
= Exp(5.4776)
= $239.28
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.4763 + 0.0005 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0739)
= Exp(5.1821)
= $178.06
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 18.63% per annum.
- PANW price at the close of November 7, 2025 was $212.29 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: July 31, 2025
End date: November 7, 2025
a = 0.5985
b = 0.0026
s = 0.0264
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0026) – 1
= 162.19%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0264) – 1
= 11.14%
July 31, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,185)
= Exp(a + b × X1,185 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,725 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.5985 + 0.0026 × 1,725 + 2 × 0.0264)
= Exp(5.2066)
= $182.48
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,185)
= Exp(a + b × X1,185 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,725 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.5985 + 0.0026 × 1,725 – 2 × 0.0264)
= Exp(5.1010)
= $164.19
November 7, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.5985 + 0.0026 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0264)
= Exp(5.4681)
= $237.01
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.5985 + 0.0026 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0264)
= Exp(5.3624)
= $213.25
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 162.19% per annum.
- PANW price at the close of November 7, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $0.96 (0.45%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.