DigitalOcean Holdings Inc (DOCN)
DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc. is a leading cloud infrastructure provider catering primarily to developers, startups, and small to medium-sized enterprises (SMBs) across North America, Europe, Asia, and beyond. Headquartered in New York City, the company offers a robust suite of services, including scalable compute resources, managed databases, and Kubernetes-based solutions, aimed at simplifying cloud adoption and enhancing developer productivity. With a strong focus on delivering user-friendly tools and cost-effective solutions, DigitalOcean empowers its clients to innovate rapidly and efficiently in an increasingly competitive digital landscape.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 243.76% per annum.
- DOCN price at the close of December 8, 2025 was $49.49 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 33.33% per annum.
- DOCN price at the close of December 8, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of DOCN price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: June 12, 2025
End date: December 8, 2025
a = -1.9620
b = 0.0034
s = 0.0582
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0034) – 1
= 243.76%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0582) – 1
= 26.23%
June 12, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,060)
= Exp(a + b × X1,060 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,541 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.9620 + 0.0034 × 1,541 + 2 × 0.0582)
= Exp(3.3676)
= $29.01
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,060)
= Exp(a + b × X1,060 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,541 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.9620 + 0.0034 × 1,541 – 2 × 0.0582)
= Exp(3.1347)
= $22.98
December 8, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,183)
= Exp(a + b × X1,183 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,720 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.9620 + 0.0034 × 1,720 + 2 × 0.0582)
= Exp(3.9731)
= $53.15
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,183)
= Exp(a + b × X1,183 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,720 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.9620 + 0.0034 × 1,720 – 2 × 0.0582)
= Exp(3.7402)
= $42.11
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 243.76% per annum.
- DOCN price at the close of December 8, 2025 was $49.49 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: November 5, 2025
End date: December 8, 2025
a = 5.7227
b = -0.0011
s = 0.0487
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0011) – 1
= -33.33%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0487) – 1
= 21.51%
November 5, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,161)
= Exp(a + b × X1,161 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,687 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.7227 + -0.0011 × 1,687 + 2 × 0.0487)
= Exp(3.9460)
= $51.73
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,161)
= Exp(a + b × X1,161 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,687 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.7227 + -0.0011 × 1,687 – 2 × 0.0487)
= Exp(3.7511)
= $42.57
December 8, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,183)
= Exp(a + b × X1,183 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,720 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.7227 + -0.0011 × 1,720 + 2 × 0.0487)
= Exp(3.9093)
= $49.86
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,183)
= Exp(a + b × X1,183 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,720 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.7227 + -0.0011 × 1,720 – 2 × 0.0487)
= Exp(3.7145)
= $41.04
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 33.33% per annum.
- DOCN price at the close of December 8, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.