Stock Price Trends

DigitalOcean Holdings Inc (DOCN)

DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc. is a leading cloud infrastructure provider catering primarily to developers, startups, and small to medium-sized enterprises (SMBs) across North America, Europe, Asia, and beyond. Headquartered in New York City, the company offers a robust suite of services, including scalable compute resources, managed databases, and Kubernetes-based solutions, aimed at simplifying cloud adoption and enhancing developer productivity. With a strong focus on delivering user-friendly tools and cost-effective solutions, DigitalOcean empowers its clients to innovate rapidly and efficiently in an increasingly competitive digital landscape.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 251.61% per annum.
  • DOCN price at the close of November 13, 2025 was $45.19 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 413.90% per annum.
  • DOCN price at the close of November 13, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of DOCN price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: June 13, 2025
End date: November 13, 2025

a = -2.0624

b = 0.0034

s = 0.0613

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0034) – 1
= 251.61%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0613) – 1
= 27.76%

June 13, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,061)
= Exp(a + b × X1,061 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,542 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-2.0624 + 0.0034 × 1,542 + 2 × 0.0613)
= Exp(3.3720)
= $29.14

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,061)
= Exp(a + b × X1,061 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,542 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-2.0624 + 0.0034 × 1,542 – 2 × 0.0613)
= Exp(3.1269)
= $22.80

November 13, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,167)
= Exp(a + b × X1,167 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,695 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-2.0624 + 0.0034 × 1,695 + 2 × 0.0613)
= Exp(3.8990)
= $49.35

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,167)
= Exp(a + b × X1,167 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,695 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-2.0624 + 0.0034 × 1,695 – 2 × 0.0613)
= Exp(3.6540)
= $38.63

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 251.61% per annum.
  • DOCN price at the close of November 13, 2025 was $45.19 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: August 11, 2025
End date: November 13, 2025

a = -3.7838

b = 0.0045

s = 0.0507

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0045) – 1
= 413.90%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0507) – 1
= 22.50%

August 11, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,100)
= Exp(a + b × X1,100 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,601 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-3.7838 + 0.0045 × 1,601 + 2 × 0.0507)
= Exp(3.4974)
= $33.03

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,100)
= Exp(a + b × X1,100 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,601 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-3.7838 + 0.0045 × 1,601 – 2 × 0.0507)
= Exp(3.2944)
= $26.96

November 13, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,167)
= Exp(a + b × X1,167 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,695 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-3.7838 + 0.0045 × 1,695 + 2 × 0.0507)
= Exp(3.9189)
= $50.35

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,167)
= Exp(a + b × X1,167 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,695 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-3.7838 + 0.0045 × 1,695 – 2 × 0.0507)
= Exp(3.7160)
= $41.10

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 413.90% per annum.
  • DOCN price at the close of November 13, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.