F5 Networks Inc (FFIV)
F5 Networks, Inc. (FFIV), headquartered in Seattle, Washington, is a leading provider of application delivery networking solutions that enhance application availability, performance, and security across diverse environments, including multi-cloud infrastructures. The company offers a comprehensive suite of services, including application security, network security, access management, and online fraud prevention, aimed at optimizing and protecting mission-critical applications. With a global presence and a commitment to innovation, F5 empowers organizations to navigate the complexities of modern IT and secure their digital experiences.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 38.70% per annum.
- FFIV price at the close of December 5, 2025 was $248.12 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $33.10 (11.77%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 85.80% per annum.
- FFIV price at the close of December 5, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of FFIV price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: December 16, 2022
End date: October 27, 2025
a = 4.1663
b = 0.0009
s = 0.0806
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0009) – 1
= 38.70%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0806) – 1
= 38.04%
December 16, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y510)
= Exp(a + b × X510 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 738 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1663 + 0.0009 × 738 + 2 × 0.0806)
= Exp(4.9890)
= $146.79
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y510)
= Exp(a + b × X510 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 738 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1663 + 0.0009 × 738 – 2 × 0.0806)
= Exp(4.6666)
= $106.34
October 27, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,226)
= Exp(a + b × X1,226 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,784 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1663 + 0.0009 × 1,784 + 2 × 0.0806)
= Exp(5.9265)
= $374.85
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,226)
= Exp(a + b × X1,226 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,784 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1663 + 0.0009 × 1,784 – 2 × 0.0806)
= Exp(5.6042)
= $271.56
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 38.70% per annum.
- FFIV price at the close of December 5, 2025 was $248.12 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $33.10 (11.77%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: September 9, 2025
End date: December 4, 2025
a = 15.1572
b = -0.0053
s = 0.0648
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0053) – 1
= -85.80%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0648) – 1
= 29.61%
September 9, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,192)
= Exp(a + b × X1,192 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,736 + 2 × s)
= Exp(15.1572 + -0.0053 × 1,736 + 2 × 0.0648)
= Exp(6.0041)
= $405.10
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,192)
= Exp(a + b × X1,192 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,736 – 2 × s)
= Exp(15.1572 + -0.0053 × 1,736 – 2 × 0.0648)
= Exp(5.7448)
= $312.56
December 4, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,253)
= Exp(a + b × X1,253 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 + 2 × s)
= Exp(15.1572 + -0.0053 × 1,822 + 2 × 0.0648)
= Exp(5.5443)
= $255.77
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,253)
= Exp(a + b × X1,253 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 – 2 × s)
= Exp(15.1572 + -0.0053 × 1,822 – 2 × 0.0648)
= Exp(5.2849)
= $197.34
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 85.80% per annum.
- FFIV price at the close of December 5, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.