Lumentum Holdings Inc (LITE)
Lumentum Holdings Inc. is a leading provider of optical and photonic products, catering to a diverse range of markets worldwide, including telecommunications, data communications, industrial, and consumer sectors. Headquartered in San Jose, California, Lumentum is at the forefront of innovation, specializing in advanced laser systems and optical components that enable enhanced connectivity and efficiency in various applications. With a strong commitment to research and development, the company is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for high-performance optical technologies across the globe.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 1,431.52% per annum.
- LITE price at the close of March 20, 2026 was $706.35 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 2,591.70% per annum.
- LITE price at the close of March 20, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of LITE price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: April 3, 2025
End date: March 20, 2026
a = -7.1544
b = 0.0075
s = 0.1183
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0075) – 1
= 1,431.52%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1183) – 1
= 60.51%
April 3, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,013)
= Exp(a + b × X1,013 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,472 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-7.1544 + 0.0075 × 1,472 + 2 × 0.1183)
= Exp(4.0873)
= $59.58
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,013)
= Exp(a + b × X1,013 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,472 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-7.1544 + 0.0075 × 1,472 – 2 × 0.1183)
= Exp(3.6141)
= $37.12
March 20, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-7.1544 + 0.0075 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.1183)
= Exp(6.7114)
= $821.76
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-7.1544 + 0.0075 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.1183)
= Exp(6.2383)
= $511.98
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 1,431.52% per annum.
- LITE price at the close of March 20, 2026 was $706.35 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: September 24, 2025
End date: March 20, 2026
a = -9.8447
b = 0.0090
s = 0.1225
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0090) – 1
= 2,591.70%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1225) – 1
= 63.24%
September 24, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,132)
= Exp(a + b × X1,132 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,646 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-9.8447 + 0.0090 × 1,646 + 2 × 0.1225)
= Exp(5.2493)
= $190.43
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,132)
= Exp(a + b × X1,132 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,646 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-9.8447 + 0.0090 × 1,646 – 2 × 0.1225)
= Exp(4.7592)
= $116.66
March 20, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-9.8447 + 0.0090 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.1225)
= Exp(6.8461)
= $940.17
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-9.8447 + 0.0090 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.1225)
= Exp(6.3560)
= $575.94
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 2,591.70% per annum.
- LITE price at the close of March 20, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.