Performance Food Group Co (PFGC)
Performance Food Group Company, markets and distributes food and food-related products in the United States. The company is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 101.86% per annum.
- PFGC price at the close of August 18, 2025 was $98.77 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 6.53% per annum.
- PFGC price at the close of August 18, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of PFGC price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: March 10, 2025
End date: August 18, 2025
a = 1.0999
b = 0.0019
s = 0.0335
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0019) – 1
= 101.86%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0335) – 1
= 14.34%
March 10, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,143)
= Exp(a + b × X1,143 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,664 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.0999 + 0.0019 × 1,664 + 2 × 0.0335)
= Exp(4.3692)
= $78.98
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,143)
= Exp(a + b × X1,143 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,664 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.0999 + 0.0019 × 1,664 – 2 × 0.0335)
= Exp(4.2352)
= $69.08
August 18, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.0999 + 0.0019 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0335)
= Exp(4.6791)
= $107.67
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.0999 + 0.0019 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0335)
= Exp(4.5451)
= $94.17
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 101.86% per annum.
- PFGC price at the close of August 18, 2025 was $98.77 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: July 16, 2025
End date: August 18, 2025
a = 4.9318
b = -0.0002
s = 0.0126
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0002) – 1
= -6.53%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0126) – 1
= 5.17%
July 16, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,231)
= Exp(a + b × X1,231 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,792 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.9318 + -0.0002 × 1,792 + 2 × 0.0126)
= Exp(4.6255)
= $102.06
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,231)
= Exp(a + b × X1,231 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,792 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.9318 + -0.0002 × 1,792 – 2 × 0.0126)
= Exp(4.5751)
= $97.04
August 18, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.9318 + -0.0002 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0126)
= Exp(4.6194)
= $101.43
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.9318 + -0.0002 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0126)
= Exp(4.5690)
= $96.45
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 6.53% per annum.
- PFGC price at the close of August 18, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.