Stock Price Trends

Clearway Energy Inc Class C (CWEN)

Clearway Energy, Inc., participates in the renewable energy businesses in the United States.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 24.69% per annum.
  • CWEN price at the close of May 8, 2025 was $28.74 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 4.61% per annum.
  • CWEN price at the close of May 8, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of CWEN price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: September 21, 2023
End date: May 8, 2025

a = 2.2815

b = 0.0006

s = 0.0727

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0006) – 1
= 24.69%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0727) – 1
= 33.75%

September 21, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y847)
= Exp(a + b × X847 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,228 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.2815 + 0.0006 × 1,228 + 2 × 0.0727)
= Exp(3.1691)
= $23.79

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y847)
= Exp(a + b × X847 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,228 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.2815 + 0.0006 × 1,228 – 2 × 0.0727)
= Exp(2.8783)
= $17.78

May 8, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.2815 + 0.0006 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0727)
= Exp(3.5288)
= $34.08

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.2815 + 0.0006 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0727)
= Exp(3.2380)
= $25.48

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 24.69% per annum.
  • CWEN price at the close of May 8, 2025 was $28.74 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: August 1, 2024
End date: May 8, 2025

a = 3.1001

b = 0.0001

s = 0.0524

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0001) – 1
= 4.61%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0524) – 1
= 23.34%

August 1, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,063)
= Exp(a + b × X1,063 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,543 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.1001 + 0.0001 × 1,543 + 2 × 0.0524)
= Exp(3.3956)
= $29.83

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,063)
= Exp(a + b × X1,063 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,543 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.1001 + 0.0001 × 1,543 – 2 × 0.0524)
= Exp(3.1858)
= $24.19

May 8, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.1001 + 0.0001 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0524)
= Exp(3.4302)
= $30.88

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.1001 + 0.0001 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0524)
= Exp(3.2204)
= $25.04

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 4.61% per annum.
  • CWEN price at the close of May 8, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.