Stock Price Trends

Ormat Technologies Inc (ORA)

Ormat Technologies Inc. is a leading global provider of renewable energy solutions, specializing in geothermal energy and recovered energy systems. With a strong presence across multiple markets, including the United States, Indonesia, and Kenya, the company utilizes innovative technologies to harness geothermal resources and enhance energy efficiency. Headquartered in Reno, Nevada, Ormat is committed to advancing sustainable energy development while delivering reliable and environmentally friendly energy solutions to its customers worldwide.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 97.71% per annum.
  • ORA price at the close of December 30, 2025 was $111.68 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 33.69% per annum.
  • ORA price at the close of December 30, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of ORA price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: January 22, 2025
End date: December 30, 2025

a = 1.3544

b = 0.0019

s = 0.0361

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0019) – 1
= 97.71%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0361) – 1
= 15.52%

January 22, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,018)
= Exp(a + b × X1,018 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,483 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3544 + 0.0019 × 1,483 + 2 × 0.0361)
= Exp(4.1961)
= $66.43

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,018)
= Exp(a + b × X1,018 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,483 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3544 + 0.0019 × 1,483 – 2 × 0.0361)
= Exp(4.0518)
= $57.50

December 30, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3544 + 0.0019 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0361)
= Exp(4.8348)
= $125.82

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3544 + 0.0019 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0361)
= Exp(4.6905)
= $108.91

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 97.71% per annum.
  • ORA price at the close of December 30, 2025 was $111.68 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: October 6, 2025
End date: December 30, 2025

a = 3.2810

b = 0.0008

s = 0.0209

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0008) – 1
= 33.69%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0209) – 1
= 8.74%

October 6, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,195)
= Exp(a + b × X1,195 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,740 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.2810 + 0.0008 × 1,740 + 2 × 0.0209)
= Exp(4.7070)
= $110.71

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,195)
= Exp(a + b × X1,195 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,740 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.2810 + 0.0008 × 1,740 – 2 × 0.0209)
= Exp(4.6232)
= $101.82

December 30, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.2810 + 0.0008 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0209)
= Exp(4.7746)
= $118.46

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.2810 + 0.0008 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0209)
= Exp(4.6908)
= $108.94

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 33.69% per annum.
  • ORA price at the close of December 30, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.