Stock Price Trends

United Parks & Resorts Inc (PRKS)

United Parks & Resorts Inc. is a leading theme park and entertainment company based in Orlando, Florida, renowned for its innovative attractions and immersive experiences that cater to families and thrill-seekers alike. With a strategic focus on enhancing visitor engagement and expanding its portfolio, the company aims to capitalize on the growing demand for experiential entertainment in the U.S. market. United Parks & Resorts is committed to sustainability and community involvement, aiming to not only provide exceptional leisure opportunities but also contribute positively to local economies.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 5.57% per annum.
  • PRKS price at the close of October 10, 2025 was $50.63 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 56.38% per annum.
  • PRKS price at the close of October 10, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of PRKS price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: September 16, 2021
End date: September 26, 2025

a = 4.1483

b = -0.0002

s = 0.1022

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0002) – 1
= -5.57%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1022) – 1
= 50.52%

September 16, 2021 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y233)
= Exp(a + b × X233 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 338 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1483 + -0.0002 × 338 + 2 × 0.1022)
= Exp(4.2997)
= $73.68

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y233)
= Exp(a + b × X233 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 338 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1483 + -0.0002 × 338 – 2 × 0.1022)
= Exp(3.8908)
= $48.95

September 26, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,244)
= Exp(a + b × X1,244 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,809 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1483 + -0.0002 × 1,809 + 2 × 0.1022)
= Exp(4.0686)
= $58.47

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,244)
= Exp(a + b × X1,244 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,809 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1483 + -0.0002 × 1,809 – 2 × 0.1022)
= Exp(3.6596)
= $38.85

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 5.57% per annum.
  • PRKS price at the close of October 10, 2025 was $50.63 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: April 3, 2025
End date: October 9, 2025

a = 1.7492

b = 0.0012

s = 0.0456

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0012) – 1
= 56.38%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0456) – 1
= 20.01%

April 3, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,123)
= Exp(a + b × X1,123 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,633 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.7492 + 0.0012 × 1,633 + 2 × 0.0456)
= Exp(3.8407)
= $46.56

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,123)
= Exp(a + b × X1,123 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,633 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.7492 + 0.0012 × 1,633 – 2 × 0.0456)
= Exp(3.6583)
= $38.79

October 9, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,253)
= Exp(a + b × X1,253 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.7492 + 0.0012 × 1,822 + 2 × 0.0456)
= Exp(4.0722)
= $58.69

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,253)
= Exp(a + b × X1,253 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.7492 + 0.0012 × 1,822 – 2 × 0.0456)
= Exp(3.8898)
= $48.90

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 56.38% per annum.
  • PRKS price at the close of October 10, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.