Universal Health Services Inc (UHS)
UnitedHealth Group Incorporated is an American for-profit multinational managed healthcare and insurance company based in Minnetonka, Minnesota. It offers health care products and insurance services.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 34.58% per annum.
- UHS price at the close of July 15, 2025 was $176.94 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $6.41 (3.76%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 2.84% per annum.
- UHS price at the close of July 15, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of UHS price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: July 26, 2024
End date: May 5, 2025
a = 7.1601
b = -0.0012
s = 0.0503
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0012) – 1
= -34.58%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0503) – 1
= 22.27%
July 26, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,013)
= Exp(a + b × X1,013 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,471 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.1601 + -0.0012 × 1,471 + 2 × 0.0503)
= Exp(5.5505)
= $257.36
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,013)
= Exp(a + b × X1,013 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,471 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.1601 + -0.0012 × 1,471 – 2 × 0.0503)
= Exp(5.3494)
= $210.48
May 5, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,206)
= Exp(a + b × X1,206 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,754 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.1601 + -0.0012 × 1,754 + 2 × 0.0503)
= Exp(5.2215)
= $185.21
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,206)
= Exp(a + b × X1,206 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,754 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.1601 + -0.0012 × 1,754 – 2 × 0.0503)
= Exp(5.0204)
= $151.47
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 34.58% per annum.
- UHS price at the close of July 15, 2025 was $176.94 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $6.41 (3.76%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: December 10, 2024
End date: July 15, 2025
a = 5.3352
b = -0.0001
s = 0.0410
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0001) – 1
= -2.84%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0410) – 1
= 17.81%
December 10, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,108)
= Exp(a + b × X1,108 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,608 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.3352 + -0.0001 × 1,608 + 2 × 0.0410)
= Exp(5.2904)
= $198.42
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,108)
= Exp(a + b × X1,108 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,608 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.3352 + -0.0001 × 1,608 – 2 × 0.0410)
= Exp(5.1264)
= $168.42
July 15, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.3352 + -0.0001 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0410)
= Exp(5.2733)
= $195.05
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.3352 + -0.0001 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0410)
= Exp(5.1093)
= $165.56
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 2.84% per annum.
- UHS price at the close of July 15, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.