Stock Price Trends

Universal Health Services Inc (UHS)

Universal Health Services, Inc. (UHS) is a leading American for-profit healthcare management company based in King of Prussia, Pennsylvania. Specializing in the operation of acute care hospitals and behavioral health facilities, UHS provides a comprehensive range of healthcare services to millions of patients each year. With a robust portfolio that includes both inpatient and outpatient care, the company is well-positioned to address the growing demand for healthcare services amidst evolving market dynamics. UHS's commitment to quality care and operational excellence underscores its stature as a key player in the healthcare industry.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 199.90% per annum.
  • UHS price at the close of December 3, 2025 was $230.15 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $0.66 (0.28%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 176.40% per annum.
  • UHS price at the close of December 3, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of UHS price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: July 22, 2025
End date: December 2, 2025

a = -0.0043

b = 0.0030

s = 0.0227

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0030) – 1
= 199.90%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0227) – 1
= 9.52%

July 22, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,160)
= Exp(a + b × X1,160 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,691 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.0043 + 0.0030 × 1,691 + 2 × 0.0227)
= Exp(5.1293)
= $168.91

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,160)
= Exp(a + b × X1,160 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,691 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.0043 + 0.0030 × 1,691 – 2 × 0.0227)
= Exp(5.0384)
= $154.22

December 2, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,253)
= Exp(a + b × X1,253 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.0043 + 0.0030 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0227)
= Exp(5.5295)
= $252.03

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,253)
= Exp(a + b × X1,253 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.0043 + 0.0030 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0227)
= Exp(5.4386)
= $230.11

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 199.90% per annum.
  • UHS price at the close of December 3, 2025 was $230.15 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $0.66 (0.28%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: August 12, 2025
End date: December 3, 2025

a = 0.3933

b = 0.0028

s = 0.0208

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0028) – 1
= 176.40%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0208) – 1
= 8.68%

August 12, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,175)
= Exp(a + b × X1,175 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,712 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.3933 + 0.0028 × 1,712 + 2 × 0.0208)
= Exp(5.2036)
= $181.93

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,175)
= Exp(a + b × X1,175 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,712 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.3933 + 0.0028 × 1,712 – 2 × 0.0208)
= Exp(5.1203)
= $167.39

December 3, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.3933 + 0.0028 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0208)
= Exp(5.5184)
= $249.22

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.3933 + 0.0028 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0208)
= Exp(5.4351)
= $229.32

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 176.40% per annum.
  • UHS price at the close of December 3, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.