Universal Health Services Inc (UHS)
UnitedHealth Group Incorporated is an American for-profit multinational managed healthcare and insurance company based in Minnetonka, Minnesota. It offers health care products and insurance services.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 25.77% per annum.
- UHS price at the close of August 29, 2025 was $181.58 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 753.43% per annum.
- UHS price at the close of August 29, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $4.96 (2.66%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of UHS price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: July 26, 2024
End date: August 12, 2025
a = 6.5780
b = -0.0008
s = 0.0594
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0008) – 1
= -25.77%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0594) – 1
= 26.83%
July 26, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y981)
= Exp(a + b × X981 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,425 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.5780 + -0.0008 × 1,425 + 2 × 0.0594)
= Exp(5.5335)
= $253.02
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y981)
= Exp(a + b × X981 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,425 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.5780 + -0.0008 × 1,425 – 2 × 0.0594)
= Exp(5.2958)
= $199.50
August 12, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,242)
= Exp(a + b × X1,242 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,807 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.5780 + -0.0008 × 1,807 + 2 × 0.0594)
= Exp(5.2216)
= $185.23
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,242)
= Exp(a + b × X1,242 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,807 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.5780 + -0.0008 × 1,807 – 2 × 0.0594)
= Exp(4.9839)
= $146.05
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 25.77% per annum.
- UHS price at the close of August 29, 2025 was $181.58 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: July 24, 2025
End date: August 25, 2025
a = -5.4543
b = 0.0059
s = 0.0158
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0059) – 1
= 753.43%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0158) – 1
= 6.53%
July 24, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,229)
= Exp(a + b × X1,229 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,788 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-5.4543 + 0.0059 × 1,788 + 2 × 0.0158)
= Exp(5.0804)
= $160.84
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,229)
= Exp(a + b × X1,229 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,788 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-5.4543 + 0.0059 × 1,788 – 2 × 0.0158)
= Exp(5.0172)
= $150.98
August 25, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,251)
= Exp(a + b × X1,251 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,820 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-5.4543 + 0.0059 × 1,820 + 2 × 0.0158)
= Exp(5.2684)
= $194.11
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,251)
= Exp(a + b × X1,251 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,820 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-5.4543 + 0.0059 × 1,820 – 2 × 0.0158)
= Exp(5.2052)
= $182.21
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 753.43% per annum.
- UHS price at the close of August 29, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $4.96 (2.66%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.