Option Care Health Inc (OPCH)
Option Care Health, Inc. is a leading provider of home and alternative-site infusion services in the United States, specializing in delivering high-quality, patient-centered care. With its headquarters in Bannockburn, Illinois, the company focuses on innovative solutions that enhance patient outcomes and ensure efficient service delivery. Option Care Health's commitment to excellence and growth positions it strategically within the evolving healthcare landscape, catering to a diverse range of patient needs across various medical conditions.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 2.61% per annum.
- OPCH price at the close of March 13, 2026 was $29.29 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 63.33% per annum.
- OPCH price at the close of March 13, 2026 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $2.72 (8.49%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of OPCH price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: July 7, 2022
End date: December 8, 2025
a = 3.4936
b = -0.0001
s = 0.0906
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0001) – 1
= -2.61%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0906) – 1
= 43.65%
July 7, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y331)
= Exp(a + b × X331 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 479 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4936 + -0.0001 × 479 + 2 × 0.0906)
= Exp(3.6400)
= $38.09
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y331)
= Exp(a + b × X331 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 479 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4936 + -0.0001 × 479 – 2 × 0.0906)
= Exp(3.2778)
= $26.52
December 8, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,190)
= Exp(a + b × X1,190 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,729 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4936 + -0.0001 × 1,729 + 2 × 0.0906)
= Exp(3.5495)
= $34.79
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,190)
= Exp(a + b × X1,190 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,729 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4936 + -0.0001 × 1,729 – 2 × 0.0906)
= Exp(3.1873)
= $24.22
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 2.61% per annum.
- OPCH price at the close of March 13, 2026 was $29.29 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: August 1, 2025
End date: February 25, 2026
a = 1.1189
b = 0.0013
s = 0.0523
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0013) – 1
= 63.33%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0523) – 1
= 23.26%
August 1, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,101)
= Exp(a + b × X1,101 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,600 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.1189 + 0.0013 × 1,600 + 2 × 0.0523)
= Exp(3.3740)
= $29.20
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,101)
= Exp(a + b × X1,101 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,600 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.1189 + 0.0013 × 1,600 – 2 × 0.0523)
= Exp(3.1649)
= $23.69
February 25, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,243)
= Exp(a + b × X1,243 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,808 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.1189 + 0.0013 × 1,808 + 2 × 0.0523)
= Exp(3.6536)
= $38.61
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,243)
= Exp(a + b × X1,243 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,808 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.1189 + 0.0013 × 1,808 – 2 × 0.0523)
= Exp(3.4444)
= $31.33
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 63.33% per annum.
- OPCH price at the close of March 13, 2026 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $2.72 (8.49%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.