The Ensign Group Inc (ENSG)
The Ensign Group, Inc. (ENSG) is a prominent provider of healthcare services specializing in the post-acute care continuum, including skilled nursing, assisted living, and rehabilitation services, as well as a range of ancillary businesses. Headquartered in San Juan Capistrano, California, the company operates a diverse portfolio of facilities across the United States, positioning itself as a leader in delivering high-quality care to patients. With a focus on improved patient outcomes and operational excellence, Ensign Group is committed to enhancing the overall health care experience while driving sustainable growth in a dynamic industry.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 58.41% per annum.
- ENSG price at the close of March 20, 2026 was $200.08 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 49.60% per annum.
- ENSG price at the close of March 20, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of ENSG price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: February 7, 2025
End date: March 20, 2026
a = 3.0358
b = 0.0013
s = 0.0520
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0013) – 1
= 58.41%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0520) – 1
= 23.13%
February 7, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y976)
= Exp(a + b × X976 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,418 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.0358 + 0.0013 × 1,418 + 2 × 0.0520)
= Exp(4.9269)
= $137.96
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y976)
= Exp(a + b × X976 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,418 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.0358 + 0.0013 × 1,418 – 2 × 0.0520)
= Exp(4.7188)
= $112.04
March 20, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.0358 + 0.0013 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0520)
= Exp(5.4386)
= $230.12
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.0358 + 0.0013 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0520)
= Exp(5.2305)
= $186.89
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 58.41% per annum.
- ENSG price at the close of March 20, 2026 was $200.08 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: February 23, 2026
End date: March 20, 2026
a = 8.7475
b = -0.0019
s = 0.0122
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0019) – 1
= -49.60%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0122) – 1
= 4.99%
February 23, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,236)
= Exp(a + b × X1,236 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,799 + 2 × s)
= Exp(8.7475 + -0.0019 × 1,799 + 2 × 0.0122)
= Exp(5.3943)
= $220.15
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,236)
= Exp(a + b × X1,236 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,799 – 2 × s)
= Exp(8.7475 + -0.0019 × 1,799 – 2 × 0.0122)
= Exp(5.3456)
= $209.69
March 20, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(8.7475 + -0.0019 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0122)
= Exp(5.3474)
= $210.06
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(8.7475 + -0.0019 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0122)
= Exp(5.2987)
= $200.08
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 49.60% per annum.
- ENSG price at the close of March 20, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.