Brinks Company (BCO)
The Brink's Company (BCO) is a leading provider of secure transportation, cash management, and a wide range of security solutions across North America, Latin America, Europe, and globally. Headquartered in Richmond, Virginia, Brink's leverages advanced technology and a strong operational framework to offer services that meet the evolving security needs of businesses and financial institutions. With a focus on innovation and reliability, the company is strategically positioned to fortify its market presence and enhance shareholder value in the competitive security services landscape.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 35.58% per annum.
- BCO price at the close of January 13, 2026 was $122.78 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $9.54 (7.21%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 24.07% per annum.
- BCO price at the close of January 13, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of BCO price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: April 26, 2022
End date: November 11, 2024
a = 3.4957
b = 0.0008
s = 0.0662
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0008) – 1
= 35.58%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0662) – 1
= 30.32%
April 26, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y322)
= Exp(a + b × X322 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 467 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4957 + 0.0008 × 467 + 2 × 0.0662)
= Exp(4.0176)
= $55.56
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y322)
= Exp(a + b × X322 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 467 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4957 + 0.0008 × 467 – 2 × 0.0662)
= Exp(3.7527)
= $42.64
November 11, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y962)
= Exp(a + b × X962 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,397 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4957 + 0.0008 × 1,397 + 2 × 0.0662)
= Exp(4.7931)
= $120.68
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y962)
= Exp(a + b × X962 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,397 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4957 + 0.0008 × 1,397 – 2 × 0.0662)
= Exp(4.5283)
= $92.60
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 35.58% per annum.
- BCO price at the close of January 13, 2026 was $122.78 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $9.54 (7.21%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: April 26, 2022
End date: January 13, 2026
a = 3.6944
b = 0.0006
s = 0.0993
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0006) – 1
= 24.07%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0993) – 1
= 48.78%
April 26, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y322)
= Exp(a + b × X322 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 467 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6944 + 0.0006 × 467 + 2 × 0.0993)
= Exp(4.1690)
= $64.65
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y322)
= Exp(a + b × X322 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 467 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6944 + 0.0006 × 467 – 2 × 0.0993)
= Exp(3.7717)
= $43.46
January 13, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6944 + 0.0006 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0993)
= Exp(4.9715)
= $144.24
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6944 + 0.0006 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0993)
= Exp(4.5742)
= $96.95
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 24.07% per annum.
- BCO price at the close of January 13, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.