Stock Price Trends

CSW Industrials, Inc. (CSW)

CSW Industrials, Inc. is a diversified industrial company based in Dallas, Texas, specializing in the manufacture and distribution of a broad range of industrial products and solutions. With a strong presence both in the United States and internationally, the company operates through several key segments, including HVAC, plumbing, and specialty chemicals, catering to diverse market needs. CSW Industrials is committed to innovation and quality, positioning itself as a reliable partner for customers in various industries. As the company continues to expand its product portfolio and improve operational efficiencies, it remains well-equipped to capitalize on industry growth opportunities.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 36.05% per annum.
  • CSW price at the close of December 18, 2025 was $305.47 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $44.08 (16.87%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 1,278.04% per annum.
  • CSW price at the close of December 18, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of CSW price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: September 18, 2024
End date: November 24, 2025

a = 7.6683

b = -0.0012

s = 0.0653

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0012) – 1
= -36.05%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0653) – 1
= 29.85%

September 18, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y940)
= Exp(a + b × X940 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,367 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.6683 + -0.0012 × 1,367 + 2 × 0.0653)
= Exp(6.1245)
= $456.93

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y940)
= Exp(a + b × X940 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,367 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.6683 + -0.0012 × 1,367 – 2 × 0.0653)
= Exp(5.8633)
= $351.89

November 24, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,237)
= Exp(a + b × X1,237 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,799 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.6683 + -0.0012 × 1,799 + 2 × 0.0653)
= Exp(5.5954)
= $269.18

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,237)
= Exp(a + b × X1,237 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,799 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.6683 + -0.0012 × 1,799 – 2 × 0.0653)
= Exp(5.3342)
= $207.30

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 36.05% per annum.
  • CSW price at the close of December 18, 2025 was $305.47 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $44.08 (16.87%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: November 4, 2025
End date: December 18, 2025

a = -7.3367

b = 0.0072

s = 0.0371

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0072) – 1
= 1,278.04%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0371) – 1
= 15.98%

November 4, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,223)
= Exp(a + b × X1,223 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,779 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-7.3367 + 0.0072 × 1,779 + 2 × 0.0371)
= Exp(5.5231)
= $250.41

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,223)
= Exp(a + b × X1,223 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,779 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-7.3367 + 0.0072 × 1,779 – 2 × 0.0371)
= Exp(5.3749)
= $215.91

December 18, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-7.3367 + 0.0072 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0371)
= Exp(5.8393)
= $343.55

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-7.3367 + 0.0072 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0371)
= Exp(5.6911)
= $296.22

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 1,278.04% per annum.
  • CSW price at the close of December 18, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.