Digital Realty Trust Inc (DLR)
Digital Realty Trust, Inc. is a real estate investment trust that invests in carrier-neutral data centers and provides colocation and peering services.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 36.59% per annum.
- DLR price at the close of April 29, 2025 was $159.87 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $7.71 (4.60%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 53.14% per annum.
- DLR price at the close of April 29, 2025 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $13.26 (9.05%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of DLR price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: September 23, 2022
End date: February 21, 2025
a = 3.6958
b = 0.0009
s = 0.0667
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0009) – 1
= 36.59%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0667) – 1
= 30.56%
September 23, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y605)
= Exp(a + b × X605 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 876 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6958 + 0.0009 × 876 + 2 × 0.0667)
= Exp(4.5775)
= $97.27
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y605)
= Exp(a + b × X605 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 876 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6958 + 0.0009 × 876 – 2 × 0.0667)
= Exp(4.3108)
= $74.50
February 21, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,209)
= Exp(a + b × X1,209 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,758 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6958 + 0.0009 × 1,758 + 2 × 0.0667)
= Exp(5.3309)
= $206.62
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,209)
= Exp(a + b × X1,209 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,758 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6958 + 0.0009 × 1,758 – 2 × 0.0667)
= Exp(5.0642)
= $158.26
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 36.59% per annum.
- DLR price at the close of April 29, 2025 was $159.87 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $7.71 (4.60%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: November 18, 2024
End date: April 16, 2025
a = 8.7174
b = -0.0021
s = 0.0303
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0021) – 1
= -53.14%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0303) – 1
= 12.86%
November 18, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,146)
= Exp(a + b × X1,146 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,663 + 2 × s)
= Exp(8.7174 + -0.0021 × 1,663 + 2 × 0.0303)
= Exp(5.3242)
= $205.25
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,146)
= Exp(a + b × X1,146 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,663 – 2 × s)
= Exp(8.7174 + -0.0021 × 1,663 – 2 × 0.0303)
= Exp(5.2032)
= $181.85
April 16, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,247)
= Exp(a + b × X1,247 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,812 + 2 × s)
= Exp(8.7174 + -0.0021 × 1,812 + 2 × 0.0303)
= Exp(5.0148)
= $150.62
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,247)
= Exp(a + b × X1,247 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,812 – 2 × s)
= Exp(8.7174 + -0.0021 × 1,812 – 2 × 0.0303)
= Exp(4.8938)
= $133.45
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 53.14% per annum.
- DLR price at the close of April 29, 2025 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $13.26 (9.05%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.