Stock Price Trends

Axa Equitable Holdings Inc (EQH)

Equitable Holdings, Inc. is a globally diversified financial services company. The company is headquartered in New York, New York.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 54.59% per annum.
  • EQH price at the close of April 29, 2025 was $51.02 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 38.86% per annum.
  • EQH price at the close of April 29, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of EQH price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: March 13, 2023
End date: April 2, 2025

a = 1.8491

b = 0.0012

s = 0.0484

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0012) – 1
= 54.59%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0484) – 1
= 21.37%

March 13, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y721)
= Exp(a + b × X721 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,047 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.8491 + 0.0012 × 1,047 + 2 × 0.0484)
= Exp(3.1955)
= $24.42

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y721)
= Exp(a + b × X721 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,047 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.8491 + 0.0012 × 1,047 – 2 × 0.0484)
= Exp(3.0018)
= $20.12

April 2, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,237)
= Exp(a + b × X1,237 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,798 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.8491 + 0.0012 × 1,798 + 2 × 0.0484)
= Exp(4.0918)
= $59.85

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,237)
= Exp(a + b × X1,237 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,798 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.8491 + 0.0012 × 1,798 – 2 × 0.0484)
= Exp(3.8981)
= $49.31

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 54.59% per annum.
  • EQH price at the close of April 29, 2025 was $51.02 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: January 21, 2025
End date: April 28, 2025

a = 6.3323

b = -0.0013

s = 0.0428

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0013) – 1
= -38.86%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0428) – 1
= 18.69%

January 21, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,187)
= Exp(a + b × X1,187 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,727 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.3323 + -0.0013 × 1,727 + 2 × 0.0428)
= Exp(4.0897)
= $59.72

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,187)
= Exp(a + b × X1,187 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,727 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.3323 + -0.0013 × 1,727 – 2 × 0.0428)
= Exp(3.9184)
= $50.32

April 28, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.3323 + -0.0013 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0428)
= Exp(3.9589)
= $52.40

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.3323 + -0.0013 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0428)
= Exp(3.7876)
= $44.15

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 38.86% per annum.
  • EQH price at the close of April 29, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.