Stock Price Trends

Axa Equitable Holdings Inc (EQH)

Equitable Holdings, Inc. is a globally diversified financial services company. The company is headquartered in New York, New York.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 57.64% per annum.
  • EQH price at the close of July 25, 2024 was $42.36 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 82.73% per annum.
  • EQH price at the close of July 25, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of EQH price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: March 15, 2023
End date: July 25, 2024

a = 1.4512

b = 0.0012

s = 0.0500

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0012) – 1
= 57.64%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0500) – 1
= 22.13%

March 15, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y915)
= Exp(a + b × X915 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,328 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.4512 + 0.0012 × 1,328 + 2 × 0.0500)
= Exp(3.2072)
= $24.71

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y915)
= Exp(a + b × X915 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,328 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.4512 + 0.0012 × 1,328 – 2 × 0.0500)
= Exp(3.0073)
= $20.23

July 25, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.4512 + 0.0012 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0500)
= Exp(3.8282)
= $45.98

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.4512 + 0.0012 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0500)
= Exp(3.6283)
= $37.65

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 57.64% per annum.
  • EQH price at the close of July 25, 2024 was $42.36 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: September 26, 2023
End date: July 25, 2024

a = 0.7620

b = 0.0017

s = 0.0406

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0017) – 1
= 82.73%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0406) – 1
= 17.64%

September 26, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,049)
= Exp(a + b × X1,049 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,523 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.7620 + 0.0017 × 1,523 + 2 × 0.0406)
= Exp(3.3586)
= $28.75

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,049)
= Exp(a + b × X1,049 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,523 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.7620 + 0.0017 × 1,523 – 2 × 0.0406)
= Exp(3.1962)
= $24.44

July 25, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.7620 + 0.0017 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0406)
= Exp(3.8590)
= $47.42

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.7620 + 0.0017 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0406)
= Exp(3.6966)
= $40.31

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 82.73% per annum.
  • EQH price at the close of July 25, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.