National Beverage Corp (FIZZ)
National Beverage Corp. is a leading producer and distributor of flavored soft drinks, sparkling waters, and other beverage products in the United States. Known for its innovative approach, the company offers a diverse portfolio that includes popular brands such as LaCroix and Shasta, catering to a growing demand for healthier beverage options. With a commitment to sustainability and quality, National Beverage Corp. emphasizes natural ingredients and eco-friendly packaging, positioning itself favorably in the competitive beverage landscape. The company's strong financial performance and strategic market expansions further enhance its attractiveness to institutional investors seeking growth in the consumer goods sector.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 50.97% per annum.
- FIZZ price at the close of February 2, 2026 was $34.53 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $1.44 (4.34%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 87.59% per annum.
- FIZZ price at the close of February 2, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of FIZZ price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: May 29, 2025
End date: January 13, 2026
a = 6.9619
b = -0.0020
s = 0.0504
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0020) – 1
= -50.97%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0504) – 1
= 22.32%
May 29, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,084)
= Exp(a + b × X1,084 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,576 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.9619 + -0.0020 × 1,576 + 2 × 0.0504)
= Exp(3.9855)
= $53.81
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,084)
= Exp(a + b × X1,084 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,576 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.9619 + -0.0020 × 1,576 – 2 × 0.0504)
= Exp(3.7841)
= $43.99
January 13, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,241)
= Exp(a + b × X1,241 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,805 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.9619 + -0.0020 × 1,805 + 2 × 0.0504)
= Exp(3.5384)
= $34.41
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,241)
= Exp(a + b × X1,241 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,805 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.9619 + -0.0020 × 1,805 – 2 × 0.0504)
= Exp(3.3369)
= $28.13
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 50.97% per annum.
- FIZZ price at the close of February 2, 2026 was $34.53 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $1.44 (4.34%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: December 22, 2025
End date: February 2, 2026
a = 0.3853
b = 0.0017
s = 0.0123
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0017) – 1
= 87.59%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0123) – 1
= 5.06%
December 22, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,227)
= Exp(a + b × X1,227 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,783 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.3853 + 0.0017 × 1,783 + 2 × 0.0123)
= Exp(3.4832)
= $32.56
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,227)
= Exp(a + b × X1,227 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,783 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.3853 + 0.0017 × 1,783 – 2 × 0.0123)
= Exp(3.4338)
= $30.99
February 2, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.3853 + 0.0017 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0123)
= Exp(3.5556)
= $35.01
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.3853 + 0.0017 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0123)
= Exp(3.5062)
= $33.32
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 87.59% per annum.
- FIZZ price at the close of February 2, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.