Floor & Decor Holdings Inc (FND)
Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. is a multi-channel specialty retailer of hard surface flooring and related accessories. The company is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 82.60% per annum.
- FND price at the close of April 28, 2025 was $72.50 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 88.06% per annum.
- FND price at the close of April 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of FND price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: January 24, 2025
End date: April 28, 2025
a = 12.9777
b = -0.0048
s = 0.0395
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0048) – 1
= -82.60%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0395) – 1
= 17.13%
January 24, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,191)
= Exp(a + b × X1,191 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,731 + 2 × s)
= Exp(12.9777 + -0.0048 × 1,731 + 2 × 0.0395)
= Exp(4.7640)
= $117.22
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,191)
= Exp(a + b × X1,191 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,731 – 2 × s)
= Exp(12.9777 + -0.0048 × 1,731 – 2 × 0.0395)
= Exp(4.6059)
= $100.08
April 28, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(12.9777 + -0.0048 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0395)
= Exp(4.3137)
= $74.72
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(12.9777 + -0.0048 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0395)
= Exp(4.1556)
= $63.79
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 82.60% per annum.
- FND price at the close of April 28, 2025 was $72.50 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: February 24, 2025
End date: April 28, 2025
a = 14.8358
b = -0.0058
s = 0.0390
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0058) – 1
= -88.06%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0390) – 1
= 16.88%
February 24, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,211)
= Exp(a + b × X1,211 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,762 + 2 × s)
= Exp(14.8358 + -0.0058 × 1,762 + 2 × 0.0390)
= Exp(4.6525)
= $104.84
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,211)
= Exp(a + b × X1,211 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,762 – 2 × s)
= Exp(14.8358 + -0.0058 × 1,762 – 2 × 0.0390)
= Exp(4.4965)
= $89.70
April 28, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(14.8358 + -0.0058 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0390)
= Exp(4.2856)
= $72.64
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(14.8358 + -0.0058 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0390)
= Exp(4.1296)
= $62.15
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 88.06% per annum.
- FND price at the close of April 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.