Stock Price Trends

Lowe's Companies Inc (LOW)

Lowe's Companies, Inc. is a leading American retail corporation focused on home improvement and renovation products, serving both professional contractors and DIY customers. Headquartered in Mooresville, North Carolina, Lowe's operates an extensive network of retail outlets across the United States and Canada, offering a comprehensive selection of building materials, tools, and home enhancement products. With a strong commitment to customer service and innovation, Lowe's has positioned itself as a key player in the competitive home improvement sector, continually adapting to market trends and consumer needs while enhancing its omnichannel shopping experience.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 89.64% per annum.
  • LOW price at the close of March 27, 2026 was $230.31 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $1.42 (0.62%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 45.22% per annum.
  • LOW price at the close of March 27, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of LOW price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: February 10, 2026
End date: March 20, 2026

a = 16.7231

b = -0.0062

s = 0.0161

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0062) – 1
= -89.64%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0161) – 1
= 6.65%

February 10, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,222)
= Exp(a + b × X1,222 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,778 + 2 × s)
= Exp(16.7231 + -0.0062 × 1,778 + 2 × 0.0161)
= Exp(5.7127)
= $302.69

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,222)
= Exp(a + b × X1,222 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,778 – 2 × s)
= Exp(16.7231 + -0.0062 × 1,778 – 2 × 0.0161)
= Exp(5.6483)
= $283.81

March 20, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,249)
= Exp(a + b × X1,249 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,816 + 2 × s)
= Exp(16.7231 + -0.0062 × 1,816 + 2 × 0.0161)
= Exp(5.4767)
= $239.06

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,249)
= Exp(a + b × X1,249 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,816 – 2 × s)
= Exp(16.7231 + -0.0062 × 1,816 – 2 × 0.0161)
= Exp(5.4123)
= $224.15

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 89.64% per annum.
  • LOW price at the close of March 27, 2026 was $230.31 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $1.42 (0.62%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: March 12, 2026
End date: March 27, 2026

a = 8.4520

b = -0.0016

s = 0.0206

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0016) – 1
= -45.22%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0206) – 1
= 8.61%

March 12, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,243)
= Exp(a + b × X1,243 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,808 + 2 × s)
= Exp(8.4520 + -0.0016 × 1,808 + 2 × 0.0206)
= Exp(5.5123)
= $247.71

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,243)
= Exp(a + b × X1,243 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,808 – 2 × s)
= Exp(8.4520 + -0.0016 × 1,808 – 2 × 0.0206)
= Exp(5.4297)
= $228.08

March 27, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(8.4520 + -0.0016 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0206)
= Exp(5.4875)
= $241.66

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(8.4520 + -0.0016 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0206)
= Exp(5.4049)
= $222.50

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 45.22% per annum.
  • LOW price at the close of March 27, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.