Home Depot Inc (HD)
The Home Depot, Inc., commonly known as Home Depot, is the largest home improvement retailer in the United States, supplying tools, construction products, and services. The company is headquartered in incorporated Cobb County, Georgia, with an Atlanta mailing address.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 176.42% per annum.
- HD price at the close of September 12, 2025 was $422.69 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 96.58% per annum.
- HD price at the close of September 12, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of HD price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: July 15, 2025
End date: September 12, 2025
a = 0.9710
b = 0.0028
s = 0.0136
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0028) – 1
= 176.42%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0136) – 1
= 5.59%
July 15, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,212)
= Exp(a + b × X1,212 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,764 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.9710 + 0.0028 × 1,764 + 2 × 0.0136)
= Exp(5.9120)
= $369.44
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,212)
= Exp(a + b × X1,212 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,764 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.9710 + 0.0028 × 1,764 – 2 × 0.0136)
= Exp(5.8576)
= $349.89
September 12, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.9710 + 0.0028 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0136)
= Exp(6.0763)
= $435.43
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.9710 + 0.0028 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0136)
= Exp(6.0220)
= $412.39
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 176.42% per annum.
- HD price at the close of September 12, 2025 was $422.69 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: August 12, 2025
End date: September 12, 2025
a = 2.6612
b = 0.0019
s = 0.0118
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0019) – 1
= 96.58%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0118) – 1
= 4.83%
August 12, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,232)
= Exp(a + b × X1,232 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,792 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.6612 + 0.0019 × 1,792 + 2 × 0.0118)
= Exp(6.0033)
= $404.77
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,232)
= Exp(a + b × X1,232 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,792 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.6612 + 0.0019 × 1,792 – 2 × 0.0118)
= Exp(5.9561)
= $386.12
September 12, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.6612 + 0.0019 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0118)
= Exp(6.0607)
= $428.69
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.6612 + 0.0019 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0118)
= Exp(6.0135)
= $408.93
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 96.58% per annum.
- HD price at the close of September 12, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.