Stock Price Trends

Linde plc Ordinary Shares (LIN)

Linde plc is a multinational chemical company. It is the largest industrial gas company by market share and revenue. It serves customers in the healthcare, petroleum refining, manufacturing, food, beverage carbonation, fiber-optics, steel making, aerospace, chemicals, electronics and water treatment industries. The company's primary business is the manufacturing and distribution of atmospheric gases, including oxygen, nitrogen, argon, rare gases, and process gases, including carbon dioxide, helium, hydrogen, electronic gases, specialty gases, and acetylene.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 2.24% per annum.
  • LIN price at the close of March 31, 2025 was $465.64 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 55.10% per annum.
  • LIN price at the close of March 31, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of LIN price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: February 20, 2024
End date: March 31, 2025

a = 6.0058

b = 0.0001

s = 0.0364

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0001) – 1
= 2.24%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0364) – 1
= 15.65%

February 20, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y977)
= Exp(a + b × X977 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,420 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.0058 + 0.0001 × 1,420 + 2 × 0.0364)
= Exp(6.1647)
= $475.67

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y977)
= Exp(a + b × X977 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,420 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.0058 + 0.0001 × 1,420 – 2 × 0.0364)
= Exp(6.0193)
= $411.29

March 31, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.0058 + 0.0001 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0364)
= Exp(6.1893)
= $487.51

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.0058 + 0.0001 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0364)
= Exp(6.0439)
= $421.53

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 2.24% per annum.
  • LIN price at the close of March 31, 2025 was $465.64 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: December 18, 2024
End date: March 31, 2025

a = 3.9639

b = 0.0012

s = 0.0195

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0012) – 1
= 55.10%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0195) – 1
= 8.10%

December 18, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,187)
= Exp(a + b × X1,187 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,722 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.9639 + 0.0012 × 1,722 + 2 × 0.0195)
= Exp(6.0735)
= $434.18

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,187)
= Exp(a + b × X1,187 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,722 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.9639 + 0.0012 × 1,722 – 2 × 0.0195)
= Exp(5.9956)
= $401.64

March 31, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.9639 + 0.0012 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0195)
= Exp(6.1973)
= $491.43

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.9639 + 0.0012 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0195)
= Exp(6.1194)
= $454.59

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 55.10% per annum.
  • LIN price at the close of March 31, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

See Also