Williams-Sonoma Inc (WSM)
Williams-Sonoma, Inc. is an omnichannel specialty retailer of various home products. The company is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 84.77% per annum.
- WSM price at the close of July 8, 2025 was $169.21 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $20.32 (10.72%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 18.03% per annum.
- WSM price at the close of July 8, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of WSM price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: October 7, 2022
End date: March 12, 2025
a = 2.4438
b = 0.0017
s = 0.1344
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0017) – 1
= 84.77%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1344) – 1
= 71.22%
October 7, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y567)
= Exp(a + b × X567 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 820 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.4438 + 0.0017 × 820 + 2 × 0.1344)
= Exp(4.0919)
= $59.85
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y567)
= Exp(a + b × X567 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 820 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.4438 + 0.0017 × 820 – 2 × 0.1344)
= Exp(3.5541)
= $34.96
March 12, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,174)
= Exp(a + b × X1,174 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,707 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.4438 + 0.0017 × 1,707 + 2 × 0.1344)
= Exp(5.5839)
= $266.09
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,174)
= Exp(a + b × X1,174 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,707 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.4438 + 0.0017 × 1,707 – 2 × 0.1344)
= Exp(5.0461)
= $155.41
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 84.77% per annum.
- WSM price at the close of July 8, 2025 was $169.21 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $20.32 (10.72%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: March 13, 2024
End date: July 8, 2025
a = 4.3368
b = 0.0005
s = 0.1188
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0005) – 1
= 18.03%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1188) – 1
= 60.81%
March 13, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y925)
= Exp(a + b × X925 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,343 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3368 + 0.0005 × 1,343 + 2 × 0.1188)
= Exp(5.1844)
= $178.46
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y925)
= Exp(a + b × X925 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,343 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3368 + 0.0005 × 1,343 – 2 × 0.1188)
= Exp(4.7093)
= $110.98
July 8, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3368 + 0.0005 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.1188)
= Exp(5.4033)
= $222.15
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3368 + 0.0005 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.1188)
= Exp(4.9283)
= $138.14
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 18.03% per annum.
- WSM price at the close of July 8, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.