Stock Price Trends

Buckle Inc (BKE)

The Buckle, Inc. is a retailer of casual clothing, footwear and accessories for young men and women in the United States. The company is headquartered in Kearney, Nebraska.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 365.89% per annum.
  • BKE price at the close of June 30, 2025 was $45.35 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 127.49% per annum.
  • BKE price at the close of June 30, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of BKE price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: April 10, 2025
End date: June 30, 2025

a = -3.8403

b = 0.0042

s = 0.0314

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0042) – 1
= 365.89%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0314) – 1
= 13.38%

April 10, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,200)
= Exp(a + b × X1,200 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,744 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-3.8403 + 0.0042 × 1,744 + 2 × 0.0314)
= Exp(3.5749)
= $35.69

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,200)
= Exp(a + b × X1,200 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,744 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-3.8403 + 0.0042 × 1,744 – 2 × 0.0314)
= Exp(3.4493)
= $31.48

June 30, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-3.8403 + 0.0042 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0314)
= Exp(3.9164)
= $50.22

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-3.8403 + 0.0042 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0314)
= Exp(3.7908)
= $44.29

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 365.89% per annum.
  • BKE price at the close of June 30, 2025 was $45.35 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: May 15, 2025
End date: June 30, 2025

a = -0.2913

b = 0.0023

s = 0.0135

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0023) – 1
= 127.49%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0135) – 1
= 5.57%

May 15, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,224)
= Exp(a + b × X1,224 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,779 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.2913 + 0.0023 × 1,779 + 2 × 0.0135)
= Exp(3.7418)
= $42.17

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,224)
= Exp(a + b × X1,224 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,779 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.2913 + 0.0023 × 1,779 – 2 × 0.0135)
= Exp(3.6876)
= $39.95

June 30, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.2913 + 0.0023 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0135)
= Exp(3.8453)
= $46.77

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.2913 + 0.0023 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0135)
= Exp(3.7912)
= $44.31

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 127.49% per annum.
  • BKE price at the close of June 30, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.