Stock Price Trends

Buckle Inc (BKE)

The Buckle, Inc. is a retailer of casual clothing, footwear and accessories for young men and women in the United States. The company is headquartered in Kearney, Nebraska.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 281.10% per annum.
  • BKE price at the close of August 15, 2025 was $55.54 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 3,069.78% per annum.
  • BKE price at the close of August 15, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of BKE price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: April 3, 2025
End date: August 15, 2025

a = -2.6932

b = 0.0037

s = 0.0316

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0037) – 1
= 281.10%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0316) – 1
= 13.49%

April 3, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,163)
= Exp(a + b × X1,163 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,690 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-2.6932 + 0.0037 × 1,690 + 2 × 0.0316)
= Exp(3.5646)
= $35.33

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,163)
= Exp(a + b × X1,163 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,690 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-2.6932 + 0.0037 × 1,690 – 2 × 0.0316)
= Exp(3.4381)
= $31.13

August 15, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-2.6932 + 0.0037 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0316)
= Exp(4.0558)
= $57.73

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-2.6932 + 0.0037 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0316)
= Exp(3.9293)
= $50.87

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 281.10% per annum.
  • BKE price at the close of August 15, 2025 was $55.54 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: July 30, 2025
End date: August 15, 2025

a = -13.2349

b = 0.0095

s = 0.0144

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0095) – 1
= 3,069.78%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0144) – 1
= 5.94%

July 30, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,243)
= Exp(a + b × X1,243 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,808 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-13.2349 + 0.0095 × 1,808 + 2 × 0.0144)
= Exp(3.9142)
= $50.11

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,243)
= Exp(a + b × X1,243 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,808 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-13.2349 + 0.0095 × 1,808 – 2 × 0.0144)
= Exp(3.8565)
= $47.30

August 15, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-13.2349 + 0.0095 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0144)
= Exp(4.0657)
= $58.30

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-13.2349 + 0.0095 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0144)
= Exp(4.0080)
= $55.04

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 3,069.78% per annum.
  • BKE price at the close of August 15, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.