Buckle Inc (BKE)
Buckle, Inc. is a leading specialty retailer in the United States, focusing on casual clothing, footwear, and accessories for young men and women. Headquartered in Kearney, Nebraska, the company operates a network of retail stores that emphasize an engaging shopping experience and a curated selection of well-known and proprietary brands. With a commitment to delivering quality products and exceptional customer service, Buckle aims to enhance brand loyalty and drive sales growth in the competitive retail landscape.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 29.67% per annum.
- BKE price at the close of February 19, 2026 was $53.55 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 13.83% per annum.
- BKE price at the close of February 19, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of BKE price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: March 17, 2023
End date: February 19, 2026
a = 2.6707
b = 0.0007
s = 0.0965
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0007) – 1
= 29.67%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0965) – 1
= 47.12%
March 17, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y521)
= Exp(a + b × X521 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 753 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.6707 + 0.0007 × 753 + 2 × 0.0965)
= Exp(3.3997)
= $29.96
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y521)
= Exp(a + b × X521 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 753 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.6707 + 0.0007 × 753 – 2 × 0.0965)
= Exp(3.0136)
= $20.36
February 19, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.6707 + 0.0007 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0965)
= Exp(4.1614)
= $64.16
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.6707 + 0.0007 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0965)
= Exp(3.7752)
= $43.61
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 29.67% per annum.
- BKE price at the close of February 19, 2026 was $53.55 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: August 27, 2025
End date: February 19, 2026
a = 4.6718
b = -0.0004
s = 0.0336
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0004) – 1
= -13.83%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0336) – 1
= 14.41%
August 27, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,134)
= Exp(a + b × X1,134 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,647 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.6718 + -0.0004 × 1,647 + 2 × 0.0336)
= Exp(4.0675)
= $58.41
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,134)
= Exp(a + b × X1,134 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,647 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.6718 + -0.0004 × 1,647 – 2 × 0.0336)
= Exp(3.9329)
= $51.05
February 19, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.6718 + -0.0004 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0336)
= Exp(3.9957)
= $54.36
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.6718 + -0.0004 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0336)
= Exp(3.8611)
= $47.52
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 13.83% per annum.
- BKE price at the close of February 19, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.