Victoria's Secret & Co (VSCO)
None
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 720.46% per annum.
- VSCO price at the close of February 19, 2026 was $61.33 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 88.75% per annum.
- VSCO price at the close of February 19, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of VSCO price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: June 13, 2025
End date: February 19, 2026
a = -5.4412
b = 0.0058
s = 0.0901
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0058) – 1
= 720.46%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0901) – 1
= 43.37%
June 13, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y979)
= Exp(a + b × X979 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,423 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-5.4412 + 0.0058 × 1,423 + 2 × 0.0901)
= Exp(2.9443)
= $19.00
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y979)
= Exp(a + b × X979 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,423 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-5.4412 + 0.0058 × 1,423 – 2 × 0.0901)
= Exp(2.5841)
= $13.25
February 19, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,150)
= Exp(a + b × X1,150 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,674 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-5.4412 + 0.0058 × 1,674 + 2 × 0.0901)
= Exp(4.3917)
= $80.78
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,150)
= Exp(a + b × X1,150 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,674 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-5.4412 + 0.0058 × 1,674 – 2 × 0.0901)
= Exp(4.0314)
= $56.34
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 720.46% per annum.
- VSCO price at the close of February 19, 2026 was $61.33 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: December 9, 2025
End date: February 19, 2026
a = 1.2068
b = 0.0017
s = 0.0511
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0017) – 1
= 88.75%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0511) – 1
= 22.70%
December 9, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,102)
= Exp(a + b × X1,102 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,602 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.2068 + 0.0017 × 1,602 + 2 × 0.0511)
= Exp(4.0972)
= $60.17
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,102)
= Exp(a + b × X1,102 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,602 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.2068 + 0.0017 × 1,602 – 2 × 0.0511)
= Exp(3.8926)
= $49.04
February 19, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,150)
= Exp(a + b × X1,150 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,674 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.2068 + 0.0017 × 1,674 + 2 × 0.0511)
= Exp(4.2225)
= $68.20
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,150)
= Exp(a + b × X1,150 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,674 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.2068 + 0.0017 × 1,674 – 2 × 0.0511)
= Exp(4.0179)
= $55.59
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 88.75% per annum.
- VSCO price at the close of February 19, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.