Ross Stores Inc (ROST)
Ross Stores, Inc. is a leading American retailer operating under the brand name Ross Dress for Less, specializing in off-price apparel and home goods. Headquartered in Dublin, California, the company offers a wide assortment of brand-name and designer products at reduced prices, which has enabled it to capture a significant share of the discount retail market. With a strong focus on cost control and supply chain efficiency, Ross has demonstrated resilient performance and consistent growth, making it an attractive investment option for institutional investors seeking exposure to the value retail segment. The company is well-positioned for continued expansion, driven by its scalable business model and strong brand equity.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 94.81% per annum.
- ROST price at the close of February 19, 2026 was $200.38 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 58.47% per annum.
- ROST price at the close of February 19, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of ROST price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: June 13, 2025
End date: February 19, 2026
a = 1.9634
b = 0.0018
s = 0.0258
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0018) – 1
= 94.81%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0258) – 1
= 10.89%
June 13, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,083)
= Exp(a + b × X1,083 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,572 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.9634 + 0.0018 × 1,572 + 2 × 0.0258)
= Exp(4.8870)
= $132.56
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,083)
= Exp(a + b × X1,083 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,572 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.9634 + 0.0018 × 1,572 – 2 × 0.0258)
= Exp(4.7837)
= $119.54
February 19, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.9634 + 0.0018 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0258)
= Exp(5.3456)
= $209.68
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.9634 + 0.0018 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0258)
= Exp(5.2422)
= $189.09
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 94.81% per annum.
- ROST price at the close of February 19, 2026 was $200.38 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: November 21, 2025
End date: February 19, 2026
a = 2.9805
b = 0.0013
s = 0.0152
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0013) – 1
= 58.47%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0152) – 1
= 6.25%
November 21, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,195)
= Exp(a + b × X1,195 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,733 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.9805 + 0.0013 × 1,733 + 2 × 0.0152)
= Exp(5.1966)
= $180.66
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,195)
= Exp(a + b × X1,195 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,733 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.9805 + 0.0013 × 1,733 – 2 × 0.0152)
= Exp(5.1360)
= $170.03
February 19, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.9805 + 0.0013 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0152)
= Exp(5.3101)
= $202.37
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.9805 + 0.0013 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0152)
= Exp(5.2495)
= $190.47
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 58.47% per annum.
- ROST price at the close of February 19, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.