Chewy Inc (CHWY)
Chewy, Inc., is dedicated to the pure business of e-commerce in the United States. The company is headquartered in Dania Beach, Florida.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 102.58% per annum.
- CHWY price at the close of July 29, 2025 was $36.22 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $1.71 (4.50%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 85.13% per annum.
- CHWY price at the close of July 29, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of CHWY price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: January 12, 2024
End date: July 10, 2025
a = 0.3436
b = 0.0019
s = 0.1188
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0019) – 1
= 102.58%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1188) – 1
= 60.86%
January 12, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y869)
= Exp(a + b × X869 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,261 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.3436 + 0.0019 × 1,261 + 2 × 0.1188)
= Exp(3.0202)
= $20.50
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y869)
= Exp(a + b × X869 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,261 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.3436 + 0.0019 × 1,261 – 2 × 0.1188)
= Exp(2.5448)
= $12.74
July 10, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,241)
= Exp(a + b × X1,241 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,806 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.3436 + 0.0019 × 1,806 + 2 × 0.1188)
= Exp(4.0743)
= $58.81
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,241)
= Exp(a + b × X1,241 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,806 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.3436 + 0.0019 × 1,806 – 2 × 0.1188)
= Exp(3.5989)
= $36.56
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 102.58% per annum.
- CHWY price at the close of July 29, 2025 was $36.22 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $1.71 (4.50%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: June 23, 2025
End date: July 29, 2025
a = 13.1094
b = -0.0052
s = 0.0166
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0052) – 1
= -85.13%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0166) – 1
= 6.86%
June 23, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,229)
= Exp(a + b × X1,229 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,789 + 2 × s)
= Exp(13.1094 + -0.0052 × 1,789 + 2 × 0.0166)
= Exp(3.8026)
= $44.82
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,229)
= Exp(a + b × X1,229 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,789 – 2 × s)
= Exp(13.1094 + -0.0052 × 1,789 – 2 × 0.0166)
= Exp(3.7363)
= $41.94
July 29, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(13.1094 + -0.0052 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0166)
= Exp(3.6147)
= $37.14
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(13.1094 + -0.0052 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0166)
= Exp(3.5483)
= $34.76
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 85.13% per annum.
- CHWY price at the close of July 29, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.