Bath & Body Works Inc. (BBWI)
None
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 41.71% per annum.
- BBWI price at the close of January 14, 2026 was $23.02 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 461.16% per annum.
- BBWI price at the close of January 14, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of BBWI price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: November 27, 2024
End date: January 14, 2026
a = 5.7392
b = -0.0015
s = 0.1036
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0015) – 1
= -41.71%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1036) – 1
= 51.36%
November 27, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y973)
= Exp(a + b × X973 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,412 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.7392 + -0.0015 × 1,412 + 2 × 0.1036)
= Exp(3.8582)
= $47.38
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y973)
= Exp(a + b × X973 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,412 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.7392 + -0.0015 × 1,412 – 2 × 0.1036)
= Exp(3.4437)
= $31.30
January 14, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.7392 + -0.0015 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.1036)
= Exp(3.2474)
= $25.72
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.7392 + -0.0015 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.1036)
= Exp(2.8329)
= $17.00
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 41.71% per annum.
- BBWI price at the close of January 14, 2026 was $23.02 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: November 25, 2025
End date: January 14, 2026
a = -5.5116
b = 0.0047
s = 0.0336
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0047) – 1
= 461.16%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0336) – 1
= 14.37%
November 25, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,221)
= Exp(a + b × X1,221 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,775 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-5.5116 + 0.0047 × 1,775 + 2 × 0.0336)
= Exp(2.9434)
= $18.98
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,221)
= Exp(a + b × X1,221 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,775 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-5.5116 + 0.0047 × 1,775 – 2 × 0.0336)
= Exp(2.8091)
= $16.60
January 14, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-5.5116 + 0.0047 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0336)
= Exp(3.1797)
= $24.04
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-5.5116 + 0.0047 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0336)
= Exp(3.0454)
= $21.02
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 461.16% per annum.
- BBWI price at the close of January 14, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.