Stock Price Trends

eXp World Holdings Inc (EXPI)

eXp World Holdings, Inc. is an innovative cloud-based real estate brokerage that operates in the residential market across multiple countries, including the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Australia, South Africa, Portugal, France, Mexico, and India. Headquartered in Bellingham, Washington, the company leverages advanced technology to empower agents and enhance customer experiences, positioning itself as a leader in the evolving real estate landscape. Its unique business model not only streamlines operations but also promotes collaboration among agents, allowing for a more agile and responsive service offering in an increasingly digital world.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 85.66% per annum.
  • EXPI price at the close of March 25, 2026 was $6.08 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 94.17% per annum.
  • EXPI price at the close of March 25, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of EXPI price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: November 21, 2025
End date: March 25, 2026

a = 11.5217

b = -0.0053

s = 0.0526

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0053) – 1
= -85.66%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0526) – 1
= 23.40%

November 21, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,171)
= Exp(a + b × X1,171 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,701 + 2 × s)
= Exp(11.5217 + -0.0053 × 1,701 + 2 × 0.0526)
= Exp(2.5772)
= $13.16

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,171)
= Exp(a + b × X1,171 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,701 – 2 × s)
= Exp(11.5217 + -0.0053 × 1,701 – 2 × 0.0526)
= Exp(2.3669)
= $10.66

March 25, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(11.5217 + -0.0053 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0526)
= Exp(1.9175)
= $6.80

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(11.5217 + -0.0053 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0526)
= Exp(1.7072)
= $5.51

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 85.66% per annum.
  • EXPI price at the close of March 25, 2026 was $6.08 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: January 16, 2026
End date: March 25, 2026

a = 15.9588

b = -0.0078

s = 0.0355

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0078) – 1
= -94.17%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0355) – 1
= 15.27%

January 16, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,208)
= Exp(a + b × X1,208 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,757 + 2 × s)
= Exp(15.9588 + -0.0078 × 1,757 + 2 × 0.0355)
= Exp(2.3451)
= $10.43

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,208)
= Exp(a + b × X1,208 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,757 – 2 × s)
= Exp(15.9588 + -0.0078 × 1,757 – 2 × 0.0355)
= Exp(2.2030)
= $9.05

March 25, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(15.9588 + -0.0078 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0355)
= Exp(1.8155)
= $6.14

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(15.9588 + -0.0078 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0355)
= Exp(1.6733)
= $5.33

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 94.17% per annum.
  • EXPI price at the close of March 25, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.