eXp World Holdings Inc (EXPI)
eXp World Holdings, Inc. is an innovative cloud-based real estate brokerage that operates in the residential market across multiple countries, including the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Australia, South Africa, Portugal, France, Mexico, and India. Headquartered in Bellingham, Washington, the company leverages advanced technology to empower agents and enhance customer experiences, positioning itself as a leader in the evolving real estate landscape. Its unique business model not only streamlines operations but also promotes collaboration among agents, allowing for a more agile and responsive service offering in an increasingly digital world.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 8.88% per annum.
- EXPI price at the close of December 24, 2025 was $9.52 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 92.34% per annum.
- EXPI price at the close of December 24, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of EXPI price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: April 7, 2022
End date: December 24, 2025
a = 2.7887
b = -0.0003
s = 0.1827
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0003) – 1
= -8.88%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1827) – 1
= 107.67%
April 7, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y322)
= Exp(a + b × X322 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 465 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.7887 + -0.0003 × 465 + 2 × 0.1827)
= Exp(3.0356)
= $20.81
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y322)
= Exp(a + b × X322 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 465 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.7887 + -0.0003 × 465 – 2 × 0.1827)
= Exp(2.3048)
= $10.02
December 24, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.7887 + -0.0003 × 1,822 + 2 × 0.1827)
= Exp(2.6899)
= $14.73
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.7887 + -0.0003 × 1,822 – 2 × 0.1827)
= Exp(1.9591)
= $7.09
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 8.88% per annum.
- EXPI price at the close of December 24, 2025 was $9.52 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: November 24, 2025
End date: December 24, 2025
a = 15.0805
b = -0.0070
s = 0.0112
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0070) – 1
= -92.34%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0112) – 1
= 4.59%
November 24, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,233)
= Exp(a + b × X1,233 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,792 + 2 × s)
= Exp(15.0805 + -0.0070 × 1,792 + 2 × 0.0112)
= Exp(2.4904)
= $12.07
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,233)
= Exp(a + b × X1,233 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,792 – 2 × s)
= Exp(15.0805 + -0.0070 × 1,792 – 2 × 0.0112)
= Exp(2.4455)
= $11.54
December 24, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 + 2 × s)
= Exp(15.0805 + -0.0070 × 1,822 + 2 × 0.0112)
= Exp(2.2792)
= $9.77
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 – 2 × s)
= Exp(15.0805 + -0.0070 × 1,822 – 2 × 0.0112)
= Exp(2.2344)
= $9.34
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 92.34% per annum.
- EXPI price at the close of December 24, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.