Stock Price Trends

Kennedy-Wilson Holdings Inc (KW)

Kennedy-Wilson Holdings, Inc. is a diversified real estate investment firm based in Beverly Hills, California, specializing in the acquisition, management, and development of income-generating properties globally. With a strategic focus on markets with strong long-term fundamentals, Kennedy-Wilson utilizes its extensive industry expertise to create value across various asset classes, including multifamily, office, and retail spaces. The company actively seeks opportunities to enhance its portfolio through both direct investments and joint ventures, positioning itself as a key player in the real estate sector for institutional investors.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 127.65% per annum.
  • KW price at the close of November 21, 2025 was $9.85 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 1,160.06% per annum.
  • KW price at the close of November 21, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of KW price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: April 10, 2025
End date: October 3, 2025

a = -1.8371

b = 0.0023

s = 0.0480

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0023) – 1
= 127.65%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0480) – 1
= 21.19%

April 10, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,099)
= Exp(a + b × X1,099 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,599 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.8371 + 0.0023 × 1,599 + 2 × 0.0480)
= Exp(1.8628)
= $6.44

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,099)
= Exp(a + b × X1,099 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,599 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.8371 + 0.0023 × 1,599 – 2 × 0.0480)
= Exp(1.6706)
= $5.32

October 3, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,220)
= Exp(a + b × X1,220 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,775 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.8371 + 0.0023 × 1,775 + 2 × 0.0480)
= Exp(2.2595)
= $9.58

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,220)
= Exp(a + b × X1,220 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,775 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.8371 + 0.0023 × 1,775 – 2 × 0.0480)
= Exp(2.0673)
= $7.90

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 127.65% per annum.
  • KW price at the close of November 21, 2025 was $9.85 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: October 9, 2025
End date: November 21, 2025

a = -10.3848

b = 0.0069

s = 0.0642

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0069) – 1
= 1,160.06%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0642) – 1
= 29.29%

October 9, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,224)
= Exp(a + b × X1,224 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,781 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-10.3848 + 0.0069 × 1,781 + 2 × 0.0642)
= Exp(2.1069)
= $8.22

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,224)
= Exp(a + b × X1,224 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,781 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-10.3848 + 0.0069 × 1,781 – 2 × 0.0642)
= Exp(1.8500)
= $6.36

November 21, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-10.3848 + 0.0069 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0642)
= Exp(2.4054)
= $11.08

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-10.3848 + 0.0069 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0642)
= Exp(2.1485)
= $8.57

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 1,160.06% per annum.
  • KW price at the close of November 21, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.