Jefferies Financial Group Inc (JEF)
Jefferies Financial Group Inc. is a global investment banking and capital markets firm that offers a range of financial services including asset management and direct investments across diverse sectors. Headquartered in New York, the firm has a strong international presence, leveraging its expertise in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia to provide innovative solutions to clients. With a commitment to fostering long-term relationships, Jefferies stands out for its client-centric approach and robust market insights, making it a compelling player in the financial services sector.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 281.51% per annum.
- JEF price at the close of November 10, 2025 was $55.81 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $193.38 (77.60%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 18.95% per annum.
- JEF price at the close of November 10, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of JEF price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: September 19, 2024
End date: December 17, 2024
a = -1.1089
b = 0.0037
s = 0.0339
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0037) – 1
= 281.51%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0339) – 1
= 14.52%
September 19, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y968)
= Exp(a + b × X968 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,408 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.1089 + 0.0037 × 1,408 + 2 × 0.0339)
= Exp(4.1241)
= $61.81
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y968)
= Exp(a + b × X968 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,408 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.1089 + 0.0037 × 1,408 – 2 × 0.0339)
= Exp(3.9885)
= $53.97
December 17, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,030)
= Exp(a + b × X1,030 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,497 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.1089 + 0.0037 × 1,497 + 2 × 0.0339)
= Exp(4.4506)
= $85.68
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,030)
= Exp(a + b × X1,030 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,497 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.1089 + 0.0037 × 1,497 – 2 × 0.0339)
= Exp(4.3150)
= $74.81
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 281.51% per annum.
- JEF price at the close of November 10, 2025 was $55.81 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $193.38 (77.60%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: September 19, 2024
End date: November 10, 2025
a = 5.0292
b = -0.0006
s = 0.1464
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0006) – 1
= -18.95%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1464) – 1
= 79.58%
September 19, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y968)
= Exp(a + b × X968 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,408 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0292 + -0.0006 × 1,408 + 2 × 0.1464)
= Exp(4.5115)
= $91.06
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y968)
= Exp(a + b × X968 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,408 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0292 + -0.0006 × 1,408 – 2 × 0.1464)
= Exp(3.9261)
= $50.71
November 10, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0292 + -0.0006 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.1464)
= Exp(4.2715)
= $71.63
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0292 + -0.0006 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.1464)
= Exp(3.6861)
= $39.89
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 18.95% per annum.
- JEF price at the close of November 10, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.