Stock Price Trends

Voya Financial Inc (VOYA)

Voya Financial, Inc. is a leading provider of retirement, investment, and employee benefits solutions in the United States, dedicated to enhancing the financial well-being of individuals and organizations. Headquartered in New York City, the company offers a broad spectrum of services, including retirement planning, investment management, and health insurance products. With a commitment to innovation and customer-centric solutions, Voya stands out as a trusted partner in navigating the complexities of financial security and employee engagement. Its strategic focus on sustainability and responsible investment further positions it favorably in the growing market for socially responsible financial services.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 85.42% per annum.
  • VOYA price at the close of October 24, 2025 was $73.54 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $2.58 (3.39%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 30.13% per annum.
  • VOYA price at the close of October 24, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of VOYA price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: April 3, 2025
End date: September 29, 2025

a = 1.3323

b = 0.0017

s = 0.0419

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0017) – 1
= 85.42%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0419) – 1
= 18.23%

April 3, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,113)
= Exp(a + b × X1,113 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,619 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3323 + 0.0017 × 1,619 + 2 × 0.0419)
= Exp(4.1547)
= $63.73

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,113)
= Exp(a + b × X1,113 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,619 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3323 + 0.0017 × 1,619 – 2 × 0.0419)
= Exp(3.9873)
= $53.91

September 29, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,235)
= Exp(a + b × X1,235 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,798 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3323 + 0.0017 × 1,798 + 2 × 0.0419)
= Exp(4.4575)
= $86.27

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,235)
= Exp(a + b × X1,235 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,798 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3323 + 0.0017 × 1,798 – 2 × 0.0419)
= Exp(4.2901)
= $72.97

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 85.42% per annum.
  • VOYA price at the close of October 24, 2025 was $73.54 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $2.58 (3.39%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: September 4, 2025
End date: October 24, 2025

a = 6.0855

b = -0.0010

s = 0.0108

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0010) – 1
= -30.13%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0108) – 1
= 4.40%

September 4, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,218)
= Exp(a + b × X1,218 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,773 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.0855 + -0.0010 × 1,773 + 2 × 0.0108)
= Exp(4.3656)
= $78.70

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,218)
= Exp(a + b × X1,218 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,773 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.0855 + -0.0010 × 1,773 – 2 × 0.0108)
= Exp(4.3226)
= $75.39

October 24, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.0855 + -0.0010 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0108)
= Exp(4.3165)
= $74.93

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.0855 + -0.0010 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0108)
= Exp(4.2735)
= $71.77

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 30.13% per annum.
  • VOYA price at the close of October 24, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.