Matson Inc (MATX)
Matson, Inc. (MATX) is a leading provider of logistics and shipping services, specializing in ocean transportation and logistics solutions within the Pacific region, primarily serving Hawaii and Alaska. Headquartered in Honolulu, Hawaii, Matson has a long-standing reputation for reliability and service excellence, leveraging its modern fleet and extensive terminal infrastructure to meet diverse customer needs. The company's strategic focus on enhancing its service offerings positions it well for growth in the expanding logistics and supply chain sectors, making it an appealing investment opportunity for institutional investors.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 38.82% per annum.
- MATX price at the close of October 30, 2025 was $97.33 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 16.09% per annum.
- MATX price at the close of October 30, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of MATX price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: October 31, 2024
End date: October 30, 2025
a = 6.9915
b = -0.0013
s = 0.0678
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0013) – 1
= -38.82%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0678) – 1
= 31.15%
October 31, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,005)
= Exp(a + b × X1,005 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,459 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.9915 + -0.0013 × 1,459 + 2 × 0.0678)
= Exp(5.1627)
= $174.63
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,005)
= Exp(a + b × X1,005 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,459 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.9915 + -0.0013 × 1,459 – 2 × 0.0678)
= Exp(4.8915)
= $133.16
October 30, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.9915 + -0.0013 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0678)
= Exp(4.6726)
= $106.98
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.9915 + -0.0013 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0678)
= Exp(4.4015)
= $81.57
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 38.82% per annum.
- MATX price at the close of October 30, 2025 was $97.33 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: April 3, 2025
End date: October 30, 2025
a = 5.4845
b = -0.0005
s = 0.0565
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0005) – 1
= -16.09%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0565) – 1
= 25.36%
April 3, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,109)
= Exp(a + b × X1,109 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,613 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.4845 + -0.0005 × 1,613 + 2 × 0.0565)
= Exp(4.8222)
= $124.23
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,109)
= Exp(a + b × X1,109 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,613 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.4845 + -0.0005 × 1,613 – 2 × 0.0565)
= Exp(4.5962)
= $99.10
October 30, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.4845 + -0.0005 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0565)
= Exp(4.7212)
= $112.30
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.4845 + -0.0005 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0565)
= Exp(4.4952)
= $89.59
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 16.09% per annum.
- MATX price at the close of October 30, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.