Millrose Properties Inc CL A (MRP)
None
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 494.24% per annum.
- MRP price at the close of April 28, 2025 was $25.02 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 429.12% per annum.
- MRP price at the close of April 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of MRP price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: April 10, 2025
End date: April 28, 2025
a = 2.8321
b = 0.0049
s = 0.0131
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0049) – 1
= 494.24%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0131) – 1
= 5.39%
April 10, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y43)
= Exp(a + b × X43 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 62 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.8321 + 0.0049 × 62 + 2 × 0.0131)
= Exp(3.1611)
= $23.60
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y43)
= Exp(a + b × X43 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 62 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.8321 + 0.0049 × 62 – 2 × 0.0131)
= Exp(3.1086)
= $22.39
April 28, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y54)
= Exp(a + b × X54 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 80 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.8321 + 0.0049 × 80 + 2 × 0.0131)
= Exp(3.2490)
= $25.76
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y54)
= Exp(a + b × X54 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 80 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.8321 + 0.0049 × 80 – 2 × 0.0131)
= Exp(3.1965)
= $24.45
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 494.24% per annum.
- MRP price at the close of April 28, 2025 was $25.02 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: April 11, 2025
End date: April 28, 2025
a = 2.8558
b = 0.0046
s = 0.0133
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0046) – 1
= 429.12%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0133) – 1
= 5.48%
April 11, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y44)
= Exp(a + b × X44 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 63 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.8558 + 0.0046 × 63 + 2 × 0.0133)
= Exp(3.1700)
= $23.81
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y44)
= Exp(a + b × X44 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 63 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.8558 + 0.0046 × 63 – 2 × 0.0133)
= Exp(3.1167)
= $22.57
April 28, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y54)
= Exp(a + b × X54 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 80 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.8558 + 0.0046 × 80 + 2 × 0.0133)
= Exp(3.2476)
= $25.73
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y54)
= Exp(a + b × X54 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 80 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.8558 + 0.0046 × 80 – 2 × 0.0133)
= Exp(3.1942)
= $24.39
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 429.12% per annum.
- MRP price at the close of April 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.