Stock Price Trends

Invitation Homes Inc (INVH)

Invitation Homes Inc. (INVH) stands as the premier provider of single-family home rentals in the United States, strategically positioned to cater to evolving consumer preferences. By offering a portfolio of high-quality, renovated residences, the company ensures tenants benefit from desirable amenities, including close proximity to employment centers and reputable educational institutions. INVH leverages extensive market knowledge and operational efficiencies to deliver superior living experiences while driving sustainable growth in a dynamic housing market. With a commitment to enhancing community standards, Invitation Homes is poised to capitalize on the increasing demand for single-family rentals.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 26.62% per annum.
  • INVH price at the close of March 27, 2026 was $24.47 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 21.10% per annum.
  • INVH price at the close of March 27, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of INVH price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: April 17, 2025
End date: March 27, 2026

a = 4.7548

b = -0.0008

s = 0.0216

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0008) – 1
= -26.62%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0216) – 1
= 9.03%

April 17, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,018)
= Exp(a + b × X1,018 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,479 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7548 + -0.0008 × 1,479 + 2 × 0.0216)
= Exp(3.5439)
= $34.60

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,018)
= Exp(a + b × X1,018 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,479 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7548 + -0.0008 × 1,479 – 2 × 0.0216)
= Exp(3.4575)
= $31.74

March 27, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7548 + -0.0008 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0216)
= Exp(3.2522)
= $25.85

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7548 + -0.0008 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0216)
= Exp(3.1658)
= $23.71

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 26.62% per annum.
  • INVH price at the close of March 27, 2026 was $24.47 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: September 15, 2025
End date: March 27, 2026

a = 4.4090

b = -0.0006

s = 0.0201

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0006) – 1
= -21.10%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0201) – 1
= 8.39%

September 15, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,120)
= Exp(a + b × X1,120 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,630 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.4090 + -0.0006 × 1,630 + 2 × 0.0201)
= Exp(3.3908)
= $29.69

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,120)
= Exp(a + b × X1,120 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,630 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.4090 + -0.0006 × 1,630 – 2 × 0.0201)
= Exp(3.3103)
= $27.39

March 27, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.4090 + -0.0006 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0201)
= Exp(3.2655)
= $26.19

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.4090 + -0.0006 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0201)
= Exp(3.1849)
= $24.17

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 21.10% per annum.
  • INVH price at the close of March 27, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.