American Homes 4 Rent (AMH)
American Homes 4 Rent (NYSE: AMH) is a prominent player in the single-family rental sector, distinguished for its commitment to providing high-quality, well-maintained rental properties. The company has established itself as a trusted brand in residential leasing, focusing on delivering value and enhancing tenant satisfaction through exceptional service and responsiveness. With a growing portfolio of homes across the United States, American Homes 4 Rent is strategically positioned to capitalize on the increasing demand for single-family rentals, driven by demographic trends and evolving housing preferences.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 26.99% per annum.
- AMH price at the close of December 15, 2025 was $31.41 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 55.68% per annum.
- AMH price at the close of December 15, 2025 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $0.06 (0.18%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of AMH price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: May 1, 2025
End date: December 15, 2025
a = 5.0004
b = -0.0009
s = 0.0147
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0009) – 1
= -26.99%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0147) – 1
= 6.05%
May 1, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,097)
= Exp(a + b × X1,097 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,597 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0004 + -0.0009 × 1,597 + 2 × 0.0147)
= Exp(3.6536)
= $38.61
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,097)
= Exp(a + b × X1,097 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,597 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0004 + -0.0009 × 1,597 – 2 × 0.0147)
= Exp(3.5948)
= $36.41
December 15, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0004 + -0.0009 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0147)
= Exp(3.4571)
= $31.72
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0004 + -0.0009 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0147)
= Exp(3.3983)
= $29.91
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 26.99% per annum.
- AMH price at the close of December 15, 2025 was $31.41 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: November 21, 2025
End date: December 15, 2025
a = 7.4825
b = -0.0022
s = 0.0160
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0022) – 1
= -55.68%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0160) – 1
= 6.61%
November 21, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,239)
= Exp(a + b × X1,239 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,801 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.4825 + -0.0022 × 1,801 + 2 × 0.0160)
= Exp(3.4988)
= $33.08
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,239)
= Exp(a + b × X1,239 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,801 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.4825 + -0.0022 × 1,801 – 2 × 0.0160)
= Exp(3.4348)
= $31.03
December 15, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.4825 + -0.0022 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0160)
= Exp(3.4453)
= $31.35
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.4825 + -0.0022 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0160)
= Exp(3.3813)
= $29.41
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 55.68% per annum.
- AMH price at the close of December 15, 2025 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $0.06 (0.18%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.