Materion Corporation (MTRN)
None
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 204.01% per annum.
- MTRN price at the close of November 28, 2025 was $122.19 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $3.84 (3.05%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 46.03% per annum.
- MTRN price at the close of November 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of MTRN price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: April 3, 2025
End date: October 28, 2025
a = -0.5924
b = 0.0030
s = 0.0638
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0030) – 1
= 204.01%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0638) – 1
= 29.07%
April 3, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,090)
= Exp(a + b × X1,090 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,585 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.5924 + 0.0030 × 1,585 + 2 × 0.0638)
= Exp(4.3636)
= $78.54
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,090)
= Exp(a + b × X1,090 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,585 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.5924 + 0.0030 × 1,585 – 2 × 0.0638)
= Exp(4.1085)
= $60.85
October 28, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,233)
= Exp(a + b × X1,233 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,793 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.5924 + 0.0030 × 1,793 + 2 × 0.0638)
= Exp(4.9973)
= $148.01
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,233)
= Exp(a + b × X1,233 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,793 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.5924 + 0.0030 × 1,793 – 2 × 0.0638)
= Exp(4.7421)
= $114.67
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 204.01% per annum.
- MTRN price at the close of November 28, 2025 was $122.19 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $3.84 (3.05%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: July 31, 2025
End date: November 28, 2025
a = 2.9305
b = 0.0010
s = 0.0506
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0010) – 1
= 46.03%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0506) – 1
= 22.43%
July 31, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,171)
= Exp(a + b × X1,171 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,704 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.9305 + 0.0010 × 1,704 + 2 × 0.0506)
= Exp(4.7993)
= $121.43
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,171)
= Exp(a + b × X1,171 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,704 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.9305 + 0.0010 × 1,704 – 2 × 0.0506)
= Exp(4.5969)
= $99.18
November 28, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.9305 + 0.0010 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0506)
= Exp(4.9238)
= $137.52
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.9305 + 0.0010 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0506)
= Exp(4.7214)
= $112.33
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 46.03% per annum.
- MTRN price at the close of November 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.