New York Times Company (NYT)
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Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 28.67% per annum.
- NYT price at the close of October 23, 2025 was $56.97 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $3.67 (6.05%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 1.83% per annum.
- NYT price at the close of October 23, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of NYT price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: May 9, 2022
End date: February 4, 2025
a = 2.9688
b = 0.0007
s = 0.0614
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0007) – 1
= 28.67%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0614) – 1
= 27.82%
May 9, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y386)
= Exp(a + b × X386 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 560 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.9688 + 0.0007 × 560 + 2 × 0.0614)
= Exp(3.4782)
= $32.40
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y386)
= Exp(a + b × X386 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 560 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.9688 + 0.0007 × 560 – 2 × 0.0614)
= Exp(3.2328)
= $25.35
February 4, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,073)
= Exp(a + b × X1,073 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,562 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.9688 + 0.0007 × 1,562 + 2 × 0.0614)
= Exp(4.1702)
= $64.73
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,073)
= Exp(a + b × X1,073 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,562 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.9688 + 0.0007 × 1,562 – 2 × 0.0614)
= Exp(3.9247)
= $50.64
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 28.67% per annum.
- NYT price at the close of October 23, 2025 was $56.97 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $3.67 (6.05%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: May 16, 2024
End date: August 5, 2025
a = 3.8780
b = 0.0000
s = 0.0505
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0000) – 1
= 1.83%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0505) – 1
= 22.38%
May 16, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y894)
= Exp(a + b × X894 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,298 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.8780 + 0.0000 × 1,298 + 2 × 0.0505)
= Exp(4.0435)
= $57.03
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y894)
= Exp(a + b × X894 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,298 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.8780 + 0.0000 × 1,298 – 2 × 0.0505)
= Exp(3.8416)
= $46.60
August 5, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,198)
= Exp(a + b × X1,198 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,744 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.8780 + 0.0000 × 1,744 + 2 × 0.0505)
= Exp(4.0657)
= $58.31
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,198)
= Exp(a + b × X1,198 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,744 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.8780 + 0.0000 × 1,744 – 2 × 0.0505)
= Exp(3.8638)
= $47.65
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 1.83% per annum.
- NYT price at the close of October 23, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.