Colgate-Palmolive Company (CL)
Colgate-Palmolive Company is a leading global consumer products firm headquartered in New York City, renowned for its extensive portfolio in oral care, personal care, home care, and pet nutrition. With a commitment to sustainability and innovation, the company is dedicated to enhancing the health and well-being of consumers worldwide through its trusted brands, including Colgate and Palmolive. Colgate-Palmolive operates in more than 200 countries, leveraging its strong market presence and extensive distribution network to drive growth and deliver shareholder value.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 12.26% per annum.
- CL price at the close of March 27, 2026 was $84.29 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $0.26 (0.31%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 72.04% per annum.
- CL price at the close of March 27, 2026 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $2.81 (3.22%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of CL price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: May 7, 2024
End date: January 13, 2026
a = 4.9951
b = -0.0004
s = 0.0448
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0004) – 1
= -12.26%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0448) – 1
= 19.62%
May 7, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y782)
= Exp(a + b × X782 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,135 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.9951 + -0.0004 × 1,135 + 2 × 0.0448)
= Exp(4.6780)
= $107.56
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y782)
= Exp(a + b × X782 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,135 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.9951 + -0.0004 × 1,135 – 2 × 0.0448)
= Exp(4.4989)
= $89.92
January 13, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,204)
= Exp(a + b × X1,204 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,751 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.9951 + -0.0004 × 1,751 + 2 × 0.0448)
= Exp(4.4573)
= $86.26
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,204)
= Exp(a + b × X1,204 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,751 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.9951 + -0.0004 × 1,751 – 2 × 0.0448)
= Exp(4.2782)
= $72.11
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 12.26% per annum.
- CL price at the close of March 27, 2026 was $84.29 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $0.26 (0.31%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: October 1, 2025
End date: March 17, 2026
a = 1.8453
b = 0.0015
s = 0.0448
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0015) – 1
= 72.04%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0448) – 1
= 19.65%
October 1, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,133)
= Exp(a + b × X1,133 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,647 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.8453 + 0.0015 × 1,647 + 2 × 0.0448)
= Exp(4.3833)
= $80.10
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,133)
= Exp(a + b × X1,133 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,647 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.8453 + 0.0015 × 1,647 – 2 × 0.0448)
= Exp(4.2039)
= $66.95
March 17, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,247)
= Exp(a + b × X1,247 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,814 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.8453 + 0.0015 × 1,814 + 2 × 0.0448)
= Exp(4.6316)
= $102.67
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,247)
= Exp(a + b × X1,247 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,814 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.8453 + 0.0015 × 1,814 – 2 × 0.0448)
= Exp(4.4522)
= $85.81
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 72.04% per annum.
- CL price at the close of March 27, 2026 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $2.81 (3.22%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.