Stock Price Trends

Doximity Inc (DOCS)

None

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 86.37% per annum.
  • DOCS price at the close of October 10, 2025 was $65.61 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 25.31% per annum.
  • DOCS price at the close of October 10, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of DOCS price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: August 11, 2023
End date: October 10, 2025

a = 1.6530

b = 0.0017

s = 0.1429

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0017) – 1
= 86.37%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1429) – 1
= 77.11%

August 11, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y536)
= Exp(a + b × X536 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 778 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.6530 + 0.0017 × 778 + 2 × 0.1429)
= Exp(3.2658)
= $26.20

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y536)
= Exp(a + b × X536 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 778 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.6530 + 0.0017 × 778 – 2 × 0.1429)
= Exp(2.6942)
= $14.79

October 10, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,079)
= Exp(a + b × X1,079 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,569 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.6530 + 0.0017 × 1,569 + 2 × 0.1429)
= Exp(4.6150)
= $100.98

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,079)
= Exp(a + b × X1,079 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,569 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.6530 + 0.0017 × 1,569 – 2 × 0.1429)
= Exp(4.0434)
= $57.02

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 86.37% per annum.
  • DOCS price at the close of October 10, 2025 was $65.61 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: November 8, 2024
End date: October 10, 2025

a = 3.2289

b = 0.0006

s = 0.1030

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0006) – 1
= 25.31%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1030) – 1
= 50.98%

November 8, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y850)
= Exp(a + b × X850 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,233 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.2289 + 0.0006 × 1,233 + 2 × 0.1030)
= Exp(4.1972)
= $66.50

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y850)
= Exp(a + b × X850 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,233 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.2289 + 0.0006 × 1,233 – 2 × 0.1030)
= Exp(3.7852)
= $44.04

October 10, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,079)
= Exp(a + b × X1,079 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,569 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.2289 + 0.0006 × 1,569 + 2 × 0.1030)
= Exp(4.4049)
= $81.85

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,079)
= Exp(a + b × X1,079 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,569 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.2289 + 0.0006 × 1,569 – 2 × 0.1030)
= Exp(3.9929)
= $54.21

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 25.31% per annum.
  • DOCS price at the close of October 10, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.