Fox Corp Class A (FOXA)
Fox Corporation is an American mass media company headquartered in New York City.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 87.05% per annum.
- FOXA price at the close of April 29, 2025 was $49.63 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $6.46 (11.51%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 57.61% per annum.
- FOXA price at the close of April 29, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of FOXA price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: February 7, 2024
End date: April 2, 2025
a = 0.9549
b = 0.0017
s = 0.0295
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0017) – 1
= 87.05%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0295) – 1
= 12.51%
February 7, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y949)
= Exp(a + b × X949 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,378 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.9549 + 0.0017 × 1,378 + 2 × 0.0295)
= Exp(3.3779)
= $29.31
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y949)
= Exp(a + b × X949 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,378 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.9549 + 0.0017 × 1,378 – 2 × 0.0295)
= Exp(3.2601)
= $26.05
April 2, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,237)
= Exp(a + b × X1,237 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,798 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.9549 + 0.0017 × 1,798 + 2 × 0.0295)
= Exp(4.0984)
= $60.25
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,237)
= Exp(a + b × X1,237 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,798 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.9549 + 0.0017 × 1,798 – 2 × 0.0295)
= Exp(3.9806)
= $53.55
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 87.05% per annum.
- FOXA price at the close of April 29, 2025 was $49.63 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $6.46 (11.51%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: February 13, 2025
End date: April 29, 2025
a = 8.1724
b = -0.0024
s = 0.0358
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0024) – 1
= -57.61%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0358) – 1
= 15.39%
February 13, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,204)
= Exp(a + b × X1,204 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,750 + 2 × s)
= Exp(8.1724 + -0.0024 × 1,750 + 2 × 0.0358)
= Exp(4.1287)
= $62.09
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,204)
= Exp(a + b × X1,204 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,750 – 2 × s)
= Exp(8.1724 + -0.0024 × 1,750 – 2 × 0.0358)
= Exp(3.9855)
= $53.81
April 29, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(8.1724 + -0.0024 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0358)
= Exp(3.9523)
= $52.05
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(8.1724 + -0.0024 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0358)
= Exp(3.8091)
= $45.11
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 57.61% per annum.
- FOXA price at the close of April 29, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.