Frontdoor Inc (FTDR)
Frontdoor Inc. is a leading provider of home service plans, headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee. Specializing in home maintenance and repair solutions, the company offers a range of services designed to safeguard homeowners against unexpected breakdowns. With a focus on customer satisfaction and operational efficiency, Frontdoor leverages technology to enhance service delivery and streamline interactions. As the demand for reliable home services continues to grow, Frontdoor is well-positioned to capitalize on market opportunities and drive sustainable growth.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 35.53% per annum.
- FTDR price at the close of January 16, 2026 was $59.78 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 191.60% per annum.
- FTDR price at the close of January 16, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of FTDR price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: May 24, 2022
End date: January 16, 2026
a = 2.6501
b = 0.0008
s = 0.1287
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0008) – 1
= 35.53%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1287) – 1
= 67.35%
May 24, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y339)
= Exp(a + b × X339 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 489 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.6501 + 0.0008 × 489 + 2 × 0.1287)
= Exp(3.3148)
= $27.52
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y339)
= Exp(a + b × X339 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 489 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.6501 + 0.0008 × 489 – 2 × 0.1287)
= Exp(2.7999)
= $16.44
January 16, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.6501 + 0.0008 × 1,822 + 2 × 0.1287)
= Exp(4.4250)
= $83.52
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.6501 + 0.0008 × 1,822 – 2 × 0.1287)
= Exp(3.9101)
= $49.91
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 35.53% per annum.
- FTDR price at the close of January 16, 2026 was $59.78 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: November 6, 2025
End date: January 16, 2026
a = -1.2334
b = 0.0029
s = 0.0193
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0029) – 1
= 191.60%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0193) – 1
= 8.03%
November 6, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,206)
= Exp(a + b × X1,206 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,751 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.2334 + 0.0029 × 1,751 + 2 × 0.0193)
= Exp(3.9394)
= $51.39
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,206)
= Exp(a + b × X1,206 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,751 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.2334 + 0.0029 × 1,751 – 2 × 0.0193)
= Exp(3.8622)
= $47.57
January 16, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.2334 + 0.0029 × 1,822 + 2 × 0.0193)
= Exp(4.1476)
= $63.28
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.2334 + 0.0029 × 1,822 – 2 × 0.0193)
= Exp(4.0703)
= $58.58
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 191.60% per annum.
- FTDR price at the close of January 16, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.