Hawkins Inc (HWKN)
Hawkins, Inc. is a leading provider of specialty chemicals and ingredients, offering a comprehensive portfolio that includes blending, manufacturing, and distribution services tailored to meet diverse customer needs across various industries. Headquartered in Roseville, Minnesota, the company operates with a steadfast commitment to quality and innovation, serving clients both domestically and internationally. With a strategic focus on fostering long-term relationships, Hawkins integrates advanced technologies and industry expertise to deliver customized solutions that enhance operational efficiency and drive growth.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 25.96% per annum.
- HWKN price at the close of March 23, 2026 was $140.74 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 38.06% per annum.
- HWKN price at the close of March 23, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of HWKN price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: July 9, 2025
End date: March 23, 2026
a = 6.4238
b = -0.0008
s = 0.0869
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0008) – 1
= -25.96%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0869) – 1
= 41.57%
July 9, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,077)
= Exp(a + b × X1,077 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,568 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4238 + -0.0008 × 1,568 + 2 × 0.0869)
= Exp(5.3067)
= $201.69
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,077)
= Exp(a + b × X1,077 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,568 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4238 + -0.0008 × 1,568 – 2 × 0.0869)
= Exp(4.9591)
= $142.46
March 23, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4238 + -0.0008 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0869)
= Exp(5.0951)
= $163.23
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4238 + -0.0008 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0869)
= Exp(4.7475)
= $115.30
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 25.96% per annum.
- HWKN price at the close of March 23, 2026 was $140.74 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: November 3, 2025
End date: March 23, 2026
a = 3.3973
b = 0.0009
s = 0.0586
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0009) – 1
= 38.06%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0586) – 1
= 26.41%
November 3, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,159)
= Exp(a + b × X1,159 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,685 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.3973 + 0.0009 × 1,685 + 2 × 0.0586)
= Exp(5.0034)
= $148.91
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,159)
= Exp(a + b × X1,159 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,685 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.3973 + 0.0009 × 1,685 – 2 × 0.0586)
= Exp(4.7690)
= $117.80
March 23, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.3973 + 0.0009 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0586)
= Exp(5.1271)
= $168.52
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.3973 + 0.0009 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0586)
= Exp(4.8927)
= $133.31
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 38.06% per annum.
- HWKN price at the close of March 23, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.