Olin Corporation (OLN)
Olin Corporation is a leading manufacturer and distributor of chemical products, with a robust presence in the Americas and Europe. Headquartered in Clayton, Missouri, the company specializes in chloralkali products, epoxy resins, and ammunition, catering to diverse industries, including construction, automotive, and defense. Olin's commitment to sustainable practices and innovation positions it as a key player in the chemical sector, offering reliable solutions that meet evolving market demands and regulatory standards. Through strategic expansions and operational efficiencies, Olin aims to enhance its competitive advantage and deliver long-term value to its shareholders.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 51.42% per annum.
- OLN price at the close of October 24, 2025 was $24.06 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $1.90 (8.56%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 47.70% per annum.
- OLN price at the close of October 24, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of OLN price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: December 22, 2023
End date: August 28, 2025
a = 6.4495
b = -0.0020
s = 0.1281
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0020) – 1
= -51.42%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1281) – 1
= 66.96%
December 22, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y795)
= Exp(a + b × X795 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,152 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4495 + -0.0020 × 1,152 + 2 × 0.1281)
= Exp(4.4274)
= $83.72
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y795)
= Exp(a + b × X795 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,152 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4495 + -0.0020 × 1,152 – 2 × 0.1281)
= Exp(3.9148)
= $50.14
August 28, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,215)
= Exp(a + b × X1,215 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,767 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4495 + -0.0020 × 1,767 + 2 × 0.1281)
= Exp(3.2111)
= $24.81
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,215)
= Exp(a + b × X1,215 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,767 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4495 + -0.0020 × 1,767 – 2 × 0.1281)
= Exp(2.6985)
= $14.86
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 51.42% per annum.
- OLN price at the close of October 24, 2025 was $24.06 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $1.90 (8.56%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: April 4, 2025
End date: October 24, 2025
a = 1.2280
b = 0.0011
s = 0.0711
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0011) – 1
= 47.70%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0711) – 1
= 32.91%
April 4, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,115)
= Exp(a + b × X1,115 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,621 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.2280 + 0.0011 × 1,621 + 2 × 0.0711)
= Exp(3.1023)
= $22.25
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,115)
= Exp(a + b × X1,115 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,621 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.2280 + 0.0011 × 1,621 – 2 × 0.0711)
= Exp(2.8178)
= $16.74
October 24, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.2280 + 0.0011 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0711)
= Exp(3.3193)
= $27.64
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.2280 + 0.0011 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0711)
= Exp(3.0348)
= $20.80
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 47.70% per annum.
- OLN price at the close of October 24, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.