PotlatchDeltic Corp (PCH)
PotlatchDeltic (NASDAQ: PCH) is a leading Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) owning 1.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 1.90% per annum.
- PCH price at the close of July 9, 2025 was $40.56 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 33.71% per annum.
- PCH price at the close of July 9, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of PCH price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: April 1, 2021
End date: July 9, 2025
a = 3.8039
b = -0.0001
s = 0.0668
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0001) – 1
= -1.90%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0668) – 1
= 30.63%
April 1, 2021 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y183)
= Exp(a + b × X183 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 265 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.8039 + -0.0001 × 265 + 2 × 0.0668)
= Exp(3.9236)
= $50.58
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y183)
= Exp(a + b × X183 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 265 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.8039 + -0.0001 × 265 – 2 × 0.0668)
= Exp(3.6564)
= $38.72
July 9, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.8039 + -0.0001 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0668)
= Exp(3.8415)
= $46.60
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.8039 + -0.0001 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0668)
= Exp(3.5743)
= $35.67
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 1.90% per annum.
- PCH price at the close of July 9, 2025 was $40.56 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: January 30, 2025
End date: July 9, 2025
a = 5.6780
b = -0.0011
s = 0.0451
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0011) – 1
= -33.71%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0451) – 1
= 19.78%
January 30, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,145)
= Exp(a + b × X1,145 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,665 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.6780 + -0.0011 × 1,665 + 2 × 0.0451)
= Exp(3.8927)
= $49.04
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,145)
= Exp(a + b × X1,145 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,665 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.6780 + -0.0011 × 1,665 – 2 × 0.0451)
= Exp(3.7122)
= $40.94
July 9, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.6780 + -0.0011 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0451)
= Exp(3.7124)
= $40.95
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.6780 + -0.0011 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0451)
= Exp(3.5319)
= $34.19
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 33.71% per annum.
- PCH price at the close of July 9, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.