Rayonier Inc (RYN)
Rayonier Inc. is a premier timber real estate investment trust (REIT) that specializes in the ownership, management, and development of high-quality timberland and forest resources. With a portfolio strategically positioned in some of the most fertile softwood-producing regions in the United States and New Zealand, Rayonier capitalizes on sustainable forestry practices to ensure long-term value creation. The company not only focuses on timber harvesting but also engages in real estate development, leveraging its land holdings for diverse opportunities and enhancing shareholder returns. As a key player in the timber sector, Rayonier is committed to environmental stewardship and responsible resource management, positioning itself as a valuable investment for environmentally conscious institutional portfolios.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 49.73% per annum.
- RYN price at the close of December 18, 2025 was $21.78 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 48.29% per annum.
- RYN price at the close of December 18, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of RYN price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: August 13, 2025
End date: December 16, 2025
a = 6.4792
b = -0.0019
s = 0.0355
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0019) – 1
= -49.73%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0355) – 1
= 15.27%
August 13, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,165)
= Exp(a + b × X1,165 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,696 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4792 + -0.0019 × 1,696 + 2 × 0.0355)
= Exp(3.3548)
= $28.64
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,165)
= Exp(a + b × X1,165 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,696 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4792 + -0.0019 × 1,696 – 2 × 0.0355)
= Exp(3.2127)
= $24.85
December 16, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,252)
= Exp(a + b × X1,252 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,821 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4792 + -0.0019 × 1,821 + 2 × 0.0355)
= Exp(3.1192)
= $22.63
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,252)
= Exp(a + b × X1,252 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,821 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4792 + -0.0019 × 1,821 – 2 × 0.0355)
= Exp(2.9771)
= $19.63
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 49.73% per annum.
- RYN price at the close of December 18, 2025 was $21.78 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: November 14, 2025
End date: December 18, 2025
a = 1.1206
b = 0.0011
s = 0.0155
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0011) – 1
= 48.29%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0155) – 1
= 6.40%
November 14, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,231)
= Exp(a + b × X1,231 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,789 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.1206 + 0.0011 × 1,789 + 2 × 0.0155)
= Exp(3.0828)
= $21.82
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,231)
= Exp(a + b × X1,231 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,789 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.1206 + 0.0011 × 1,789 – 2 × 0.0155)
= Exp(3.0208)
= $20.51
December 18, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.1206 + 0.0011 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0155)
= Exp(3.1195)
= $22.64
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.1206 + 0.0011 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0155)
= Exp(3.0575)
= $21.27
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 48.29% per annum.
- RYN price at the close of December 18, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.