Pool Corporation (POOL)
Pool Corporation is the world's largest wholesale distributor of swimming pool supplies, equipment, and related outdoor products. With a diverse portfolio that includes a broad range of pool and spa products, the company serves both residential and commercial customers across various segments of the market. PoolCorp's extensive operational footprint and commitment to quality enable it to capitalize on growing trends in outdoor living and leisure, positioning it as a key player in the thriving pool and spa industry. The company's robust distribution network and strategic acquisitions further enhance its competitive advantage and long-term growth potential.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 12.41% per annum.
- POOL price at the close of October 24, 2025 was $293.75 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 62.49% per annum.
- POOL price at the close of October 24, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of POOL price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: December 14, 2023
End date: October 24, 2025
a = 6.3648
b = -0.0004
s = 0.0553
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0004) – 1
= -12.41%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0553) – 1
= 24.77%
December 14, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y789)
= Exp(a + b × X789 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,144 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.3648 + -0.0004 × 1,144 + 2 × 0.0553)
= Exp(6.0603)
= $428.50
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y789)
= Exp(a + b × X789 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,144 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.3648 + -0.0004 × 1,144 – 2 × 0.0553)
= Exp(5.8390)
= $343.44
October 24, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.3648 + -0.0004 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0553)
= Exp(5.8135)
= $334.80
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.3648 + -0.0004 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0553)
= Exp(5.5922)
= $268.33
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 12.41% per annum.
- POOL price at the close of October 24, 2025 was $293.75 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: September 5, 2025
End date: October 24, 2025
a = 10.5687
b = -0.0027
s = 0.0178
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0027) – 1
= -62.49%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0178) – 1
= 7.36%
September 5, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,220)
= Exp(a + b × X1,220 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,775 + 2 × s)
= Exp(10.5687 + -0.0027 × 1,775 + 2 × 0.0178)
= Exp(5.8359)
= $342.37
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,220)
= Exp(a + b × X1,220 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,775 – 2 × s)
= Exp(10.5687 + -0.0027 × 1,775 – 2 × 0.0178)
= Exp(5.7649)
= $318.90
October 24, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(10.5687 + -0.0027 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0178)
= Exp(5.7043)
= $300.15
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(10.5687 + -0.0027 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0178)
= Exp(5.6332)
= $279.57
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 62.49% per annum.
- POOL price at the close of October 24, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.