Pool Corporation (POOL)
Pool Corporation is the world's largest wholesale distributor of swimming pool supplies, equipment, and related outdoor products. With a diverse portfolio that includes a broad range of pool and spa products, the company serves both residential and commercial customers across various segments of the market. PoolCorp's extensive operational footprint and commitment to quality enable it to capitalize on growing trends in outdoor living and leisure, positioning it as a key player in the thriving pool and spa industry. The company's robust distribution network and strategic acquisitions further enhance its competitive advantage and long-term growth potential.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 24.91% per annum.
- POOL price at the close of January 23, 2026 was $265.02 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 831.16% per annum.
- POOL price at the close of January 23, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of POOL price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: September 16, 2024
End date: January 23, 2026
a = 6.9696
b = -0.0008
s = 0.0636
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0008) – 1
= -24.91%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0636) – 1
= 28.96%
September 16, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y916)
= Exp(a + b × X916 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,330 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.9696 + -0.0008 × 1,330 + 2 × 0.0636)
= Exp(6.0530)
= $425.38
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y916)
= Exp(a + b × X916 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,330 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.9696 + -0.0008 × 1,330 – 2 × 0.0636)
= Exp(5.7987)
= $329.86
January 23, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.9696 + -0.0008 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0636)
= Exp(5.6653)
= $288.68
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.9696 + -0.0008 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0636)
= Exp(5.4110)
= $223.85
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 24.91% per annum.
- POOL price at the close of January 23, 2026 was $265.02 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: December 23, 2025
End date: January 23, 2026
a = -5.5489
b = 0.0061
s = 0.0260
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0061) – 1
= 831.16%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0260) – 1
= 10.97%
December 23, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,235)
= Exp(a + b × X1,235 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,793 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-5.5489 + 0.0061 × 1,793 + 2 × 0.0260)
= Exp(5.4639)
= $236.01
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,235)
= Exp(a + b × X1,235 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,793 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-5.5489 + 0.0061 × 1,793 – 2 × 0.0260)
= Exp(5.3598)
= $212.68
January 23, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-5.5489 + 0.0061 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0260)
= Exp(5.6534)
= $285.25
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-5.5489 + 0.0061 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0260)
= Exp(5.5493)
= $257.05
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 831.16% per annum.
- POOL price at the close of January 23, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.