Stock Price Trends

Rollins Inc (ROL)

Rollins, Inc. is a leading provider of pest and termite control services for both residential and commercial clients across North America. With a robust portfolio of well-known brands, including Orkin, the company utilizes innovative and sustainable methods to deliver effective pest management solutions. Rollins is strategically positioned in a growing market, driven by increasing awareness of pest control needs and a commitment to providing exceptional customer service. As a publicly traded company, Rollins demonstrates strong financial fundamentals and is well-regarded for its operational efficiency and expansive service network.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 23.10% per annum.
  • ROL price at the close of December 10, 2025 was $58.77 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 9.13% per annum.
  • ROL price at the close of December 10, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of ROL price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: August 17, 2023
End date: December 10, 2025

a = 3.0709

b = 0.0006

s = 0.0471

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0006) – 1
= 23.10%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0471) – 1
= 20.74%

August 17, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y673)
= Exp(a + b × X673 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 979 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.0709 + 0.0006 × 979 + 2 × 0.0471)
= Exp(3.7224)
= $41.37

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y673)
= Exp(a + b × X673 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 979 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.0709 + 0.0006 × 979 – 2 × 0.0471)
= Exp(3.5340)
= $34.26

December 10, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.0709 + 0.0006 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0471)
= Exp(4.2041)
= $66.96

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.0709 + 0.0006 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0471)
= Exp(4.0156)
= $55.46

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 23.10% per annum.
  • ROL price at the close of December 10, 2025 was $58.77 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: April 11, 2025
End date: December 10, 2025

a = 3.6332

b = 0.0002

s = 0.0220

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0002) – 1
= 9.13%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0220) – 1
= 9.18%

April 11, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,087)
= Exp(a + b × X1,087 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,582 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6332 + 0.0002 × 1,582 + 2 × 0.0220)
= Exp(4.0560)
= $57.74

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,087)
= Exp(a + b × X1,087 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,582 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6332 + 0.0002 × 1,582 – 2 × 0.0220)
= Exp(3.9682)
= $52.89

December 10, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6332 + 0.0002 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0220)
= Exp(4.1142)
= $61.20

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6332 + 0.0002 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0220)
= Exp(4.0264)
= $56.06

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 9.13% per annum.
  • ROL price at the close of December 10, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.