Stock Price Trends

Rollins Inc (ROL)

Rollins, Inc. is a leading provider of pest and termite control services for both residential and commercial clients across North America. With a robust portfolio of well-known brands, including Orkin, the company utilizes innovative and sustainable methods to deliver effective pest management solutions. Rollins is strategically positioned in a growing market, driven by increasing awareness of pest control needs and a commitment to providing exceptional customer service. As a publicly traded company, Rollins demonstrates strong financial fundamentals and is well-regarded for its operational efficiency and expansive service network.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 23.01% per annum.
  • ROL price at the close of March 13, 2026 was $55.13 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $3.24 (5.54%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 19.29% per annum.
  • ROL price at the close of March 13, 2026 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $2.59 (4.49%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of ROL price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: August 17, 2023
End date: February 11, 2026

a = 3.1242

b = 0.0006

s = 0.0458

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0006) – 1
= 23.01%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0458) – 1
= 20.12%

August 17, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y610)
= Exp(a + b × X610 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 884 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.1242 + 0.0006 × 884 + 2 × 0.0458)
= Exp(3.7173)
= $41.15

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y610)
= Exp(a + b × X610 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 884 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.1242 + 0.0006 × 884 – 2 × 0.0458)
= Exp(3.5341)
= $34.26

February 11, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,233)
= Exp(a + b × X1,233 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,793 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.1242 + 0.0006 × 1,793 + 2 × 0.0458)
= Exp(4.2330)
= $68.92

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,233)
= Exp(a + b × X1,233 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,793 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.1242 + 0.0006 × 1,793 – 2 × 0.0458)
= Exp(4.0497)
= $57.38

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 23.01% per annum.
  • ROL price at the close of March 13, 2026 was $55.13 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $3.24 (5.54%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: December 12, 2023
End date: March 13, 2026

a = 3.2478

b = 0.0005

s = 0.0365

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0005) – 1
= 19.29%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0365) – 1
= 15.73%

December 12, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y691)
= Exp(a + b × X691 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,001 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.2478 + 0.0005 × 1,001 + 2 × 0.0365)
= Exp(3.8045)
= $44.90

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y691)
= Exp(a + b × X691 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,001 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.2478 + 0.0005 × 1,001 – 2 × 0.0365)
= Exp(3.6585)
= $38.80

March 13, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.2478 + 0.0005 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0365)
= Exp(4.2017)
= $66.80

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.2478 + 0.0005 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0365)
= Exp(4.0556)
= $57.72

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 19.29% per annum.
  • ROL price at the close of March 13, 2026 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $2.59 (4.49%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.