Stock Price Trends

Veralto Corporation (VLTO)

Veralto Corporation is a leading provider of innovative water supply solutions, focusing on sustainable practices and advanced technologies to enhance water management and conservation. The company is committed to delivering high-quality water services that meet the growing demands of both residential and industrial customers. With a strong emphasis on environmental stewardship and operational efficiency, Veralto aims to drive positive change in the water sector, making it well-positioned for future growth in an increasingly resource-conscious market.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 20.60% per annum.
  • VLTO price at the close of January 13, 2026 was $101.77 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $16.55 (19.43%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 1.00% per annum.
  • VLTO price at the close of January 13, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of VLTO price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: July 26, 2024
End date: May 9, 2025

a = 4.9057

b = -0.0006

s = 0.0326

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0006) – 1
= -20.60%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0326) – 1
= 13.92%

July 26, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y203)
= Exp(a + b × X203 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 296 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.9057 + -0.0006 × 296 + 2 × 0.0326)
= Exp(4.7838)
= $119.56

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y203)
= Exp(a + b × X203 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 296 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.9057 + -0.0006 × 296 – 2 × 0.0326)
= Exp(4.6535)
= $104.95

May 9, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y400)
= Exp(a + b × X400 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 583 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.9057 + -0.0006 × 583 + 2 × 0.0326)
= Exp(4.6025)
= $99.73

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y400)
= Exp(a + b × X400 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 583 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.9057 + -0.0006 × 583 – 2 × 0.0326)
= Exp(4.4721)
= $87.54

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 20.60% per annum.
  • VLTO price at the close of January 13, 2026 was $101.77 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $16.55 (19.43%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: October 24, 2024
End date: January 13, 2026

a = 4.5979

b = 0.0000

s = 0.0437

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0000) – 1
= 1.00%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0437) – 1
= 19.11%

October 24, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y266)
= Exp(a + b × X266 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 386 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.5979 + 0.0000 × 386 + 2 × 0.0437)
= Exp(4.6959)
= $109.49

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y266)
= Exp(a + b × X266 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 386 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.5979 + 0.0000 × 386 – 2 × 0.0437)
= Exp(4.5210)
= $91.93

January 13, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y570)
= Exp(a + b × X570 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 832 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.5979 + 0.0000 × 832 + 2 × 0.0437)
= Exp(4.7080)
= $110.83

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y570)
= Exp(a + b × X570 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 832 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.5979 + 0.0000 × 832 – 2 × 0.0437)
= Exp(4.5331)
= $93.05

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 1.00% per annum.
  • VLTO price at the close of January 13, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.