Stock Price Trends

Vishay Intertechnology Inc (VSH)

Vishay Intertechnology, Inc. manufactures and supplies discrete semiconductors and passive electronic components in Asia, Europe, and the Americas. The company is headquartered in Malvern, Pennsylvania.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 23.18% per annum.
  • VSH price at the close of April 29, 2025 was $13.09 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $1.08 (7.64%).
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 39.91% per annum.
  • VSH price at the close of April 29, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of VSH price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: May 25, 2023
End date: April 2, 2025

a = 4.1023

b = -0.0007

s = 0.0664

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0007) – 1
= -23.18%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0664) – 1
= 30.40%

May 25, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y773)
= Exp(a + b × X773 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,120 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1023 + -0.0007 × 1,120 + 2 × 0.0664)
= Exp(3.4260)
= $30.75

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y773)
= Exp(a + b × X773 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,120 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1023 + -0.0007 × 1,120 – 2 × 0.0664)
= Exp(3.1606)
= $23.58

April 2, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,237)
= Exp(a + b × X1,237 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,798 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1023 + -0.0007 × 1,798 + 2 × 0.0664)
= Exp(2.9363)
= $18.85

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,237)
= Exp(a + b × X1,237 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,798 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1023 + -0.0007 × 1,798 – 2 × 0.0664)
= Exp(2.6709)
= $14.45

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 23.18% per annum.
  • VSH price at the close of April 29, 2025 was $13.09 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $1.08 (7.64%).

Secondary Trend

Start date: April 26, 2024
End date: April 29, 2025

a = 5.1970

b = -0.0014

s = 0.0918

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0014) – 1
= -39.91%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0918) – 1
= 44.40%

April 26, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,004)
= Exp(a + b × X1,004 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,457 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.1970 + -0.0014 × 1,457 + 2 × 0.0918)
= Exp(3.3474)
= $28.43

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,004)
= Exp(a + b × X1,004 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,457 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.1970 + -0.0014 × 1,457 – 2 × 0.0918)
= Exp(2.9801)
= $19.69

April 29, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.1970 + -0.0014 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0918)
= Exp(2.8339)
= $17.01

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.1970 + -0.0014 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0918)
= Exp(2.4665)
= $11.78

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 39.91% per annum.
  • VSH price at the close of April 29, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.